TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc691…389c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Music, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Music at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Schmigadoon!" win Best Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.24
Will "Kai Harada" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.84
Will "Liberation" win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
Will "The Boroughs" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.53
Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.56
Will "MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+84%+$101.78
Will "FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.77
Will "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$12.42
Will "SPY x FAMILY Season 3" win Best Comedy Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.84
Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$204.18
Will "Man on Fire" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$50.13
Will "Swapped" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
Will "Apex" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.66
Will Paul Thomas Anderson (One Battle After Another) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.48
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-34.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jensen Huang say "Taiwan" during NVIDIA keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+58.8%+$25.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keir Starmer say "Denmark" or "Greenland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+43.2%+$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sonny Styles be drafted 5th overall in the 2026 pro football draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$16.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$33.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NRG win Valorant Masters London 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.