Movies · resolved market
Will "The Boroughs" be the top US Netflix show this week?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59b3b38ba1728e9f065966f1679d8de2216d1ffe1aa8094f91ba045d037f6681
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,984
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,984 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75d4…4027backed Yes | 78c | 16,316$12,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,614.7 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 40c | 4,158$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.77 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 4c | 3,781$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.04 | 331 | 23.9%79 W · 252 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…99ebbacked No | 16c | 3,781$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.27 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 35c | 3,379$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.6 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 17c | 2,364$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.12 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 13c | 1,539$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.38 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 6c | 1,462$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 10c | 999.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.34 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 13c | 827.45$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.1 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 11c | 808$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.88 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 61c | 780.49$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.33 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e9…5250backed No | 15c | 778.7$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.47 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc691…389cbacked No | 17c | 772$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.53 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 26c | 747.3$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.55 | 130 | 34.6%45 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b0…0822backed Yes | 61c | 737.23$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.85 | 19 | 94.7%18 W · 1 L | +5.6wins | +0.30per pick | 65cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 9c | 645.06$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 55c | 605.02$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.08 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 19c | 589$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.27 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 36c | 586.59$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.98 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -7.5wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 57c | 525.83$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.11 | 142 | 40.1%57 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 14c | 438.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 16c | 400.95$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.44 | 266 | 41.7%111 W · 155 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 48c | 400.22$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.8 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 1.6%2 W · 121 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 5c | 384.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 268 | 6.3%17 W · 251 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 7c | 371.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 5c | 367.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 4c | 360$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 7c | 354.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 7c | 332.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…6ff9backed Yes | 74c | 312.99$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…4194backed No | 11c | 286$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +161%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 13c | 272.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 7c | 254.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…c782backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 12c | 199.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 15c | 192.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 13c | 183$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 8c | 180$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 12c | 156.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae5…45e3backed No | 36c | 142.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 15c | 115$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed No | 22c | 104.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…a64abacked No | 12c | 99.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 10c | 99.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 15c | 96.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 34c | 73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 42c | 61.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8179…4403backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 59c | 43.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Yes | 80c | 14.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.97 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The Boroughs" be the top US Netflix show this week?this page
- Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.