Movies · resolved market
Will "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b93dc2f9fb0cd0d4e4a1adfaa24e185e6945b7842eaffec9ff641654ab41b4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8cfa…b608backed No | 42c | 2,969$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…2238backed Yes | 21c | 2,731$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6578…ba32backed No | 79c | 2,293$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.47 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 32c | 1,939$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.68 | 329 | 24%79 W · 250 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 59c | 1,303$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.22 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 70c | 1,101$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.45 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 4c | 995.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 58c | 772$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.8 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4e…aa5abacked Yes | 68c | 632$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.24 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00b…fbcabacked No | 32c | 632$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed No | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 59c | 556.93$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.85 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 40c | 461.88$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.28 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 74c | 357.16$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.29 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc40a…1f50backed No | 79c | 297$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.63 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…3a92backed Yes | 58c | 209.29$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +189.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c3…d8f4backed Yes | 72c | 209.2$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3b…3673backed Yes | 74c | 190.46$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 38c | 166$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.97 | 1,393 | 8%111 W · 1,282 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32c6…34a4backed Yes | 67c | 155.42$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x290d…9e42backed No | 79c | 141$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.39 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 14c | 125.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.42 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0582…e3e5backed Yes | 57c | 121.95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…8087backed No | 27c | 107.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4262…abaabacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 37c | 97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…f0b0backed No | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…6e94backed Yes | 58c | 69.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No | 31c | 58.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x876e…58d2backed No | 29c | 57.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 39c | 56.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e4…501cbacked No | 45c | 49.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 32c | 48.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 28c | 47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc691…389cbacked Yes | 73c | 46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad4…7c3fbacked No | 37c | 42.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c9…c84cbacked Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 46c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf355…6759backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 31c | 34.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…03cebacked Yes | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 37c | 31.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5e…5c24backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 35c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 44c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 56c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 71c | 28.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 111 | 84.7%94 W · 17 L | +11.3wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f5…c49bbacked Yes | 79c | 26.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 49c | 26.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 194 | 40.2%78 W · 116 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bab…8322backed Yes | 57c | 24.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…3ab9backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…ebecbacked Yes | 68c | 18.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d1…01c5backed Yes | 60c | 18.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0be…6605backed Yes | 76c | 13.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?this page
- Will "DAN DA DAN Season 2" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?No won
- Will "Gachiakuta" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?No won
- Will "Takopi's Original Sin" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?No won
- Will "The Apothecary Diaries Season 2" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.