TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1ecc…53a9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
551
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 55 out of 100; worst Music at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT23741.4%98 W · 139 L-0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 237 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Giant" win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.56
Will "Liberation" win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$594Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$211.87
Will "Shoshana Bean" win Best Featured Actress in a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Will "John Lithgow" win Best Leading Actor in a Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$68.49
Will "Schmigadoon!" win Best Book of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
Will "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$766Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$335.45
Will "Gachiakuta" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.37
Will "Takopi's Original Sin" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.86
Will "Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc" win Film of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.51
Will "ONE PIECE" win Best Continuing Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$18.43
Will "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Best Continuing Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.42
Will "Apocalypse Hotel" win Best Original Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.22
Will "I" by BUMP OF CHICKEN (My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON) win Best Anime Ending Sequence at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+84.6%+$16.71
Will "DIGIMON BEATBREAK" win Best Original Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
Will "ZENSHU" win Best Original Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.63
Will "SAKAMOTO DAYS" win Best New Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$32.61
Will "Takopi's Original Sin" win Best New Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.63
Will "Solo Leveling Season 2 -Arise from the Shadow-" win Best Action Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$19.35
Will "ONE PIECE" win Best Action Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.36
Will Aoi Yuki as Maomao (The Apothecary Diaries Season 2) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Japanese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+716.5%+$77.5
Will "Maomao (The Apothecary Diaries Season 2)" win Best Anime Main Character at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+146.2%+$77.2
Will Bastien Bourlé as Izuku Midoriya (My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (French) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+204.7%+$47.7
Will "Gachiakuta" win Best Character Design at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+57%+$57.99
Will "Unchosen" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.82
Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.22
Showing 25 of 237 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT12438.7%48 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 124 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,251.14
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.88
Will Jordan Staal win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$52.98
Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+203%+$127.3
Will Logan Stankoven win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,459Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,459.27
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$28.47
Will Jeremy Swayman win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Will Andrei Vasilevskiy win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$117.35
Will Ilya Sorokin win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.13
Will Nick Suzuki win the 2025–2026 NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.46
Will Lindy Ruff win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.09
Will Jon Cooper win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+251%+$196.6
Will Cale Makar win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.08
Will Rasmus Dahlin win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
Will Zach Werenski win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,019Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$403.41
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.06
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$44.14
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$982Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$560.45
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.57
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.54
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$986Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$416.03
Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.52
Will the Boston Bruins win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.17
Showing 25 of 124 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT3336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30.5
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$79.56
Will Catherine Connolly win by 15–20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will turnout be between 5.4 million and 5.8 million in the 2025 Bolivia Presidential Election second round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.43
Will turnout be between 5.8 million and 6.2 million in the 2025 Bolivia Presidential Election second round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.4
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$434.5
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+135.1%+$27.02
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 68-70%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.2
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be more than 72%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$29
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$136
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+475.2%+$307.39
Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$184.75
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$392.43
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$73
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.78
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+29%+$148
Will Bloc Quebecois win 31 or more seats in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.25
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Manitoba in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$185
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$141
Will the Liberals win between 150-159 seats in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.09
Will the Liberals win between 170-179 seats in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$169.49
Will the Liberals win between 180-189 seats in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.3
Will the Liberals win between 190-210 seats in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.09
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT2611.5%3 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-70.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Music — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.89
Will Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.66
Will Man's Best Friend (Sabrina Carpenter) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.76
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+179.9%+$30.3
Will Manchild (Sabrina Carpenter) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$17.68
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$57.82
Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$36.5
Will The Marías win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Lola Young win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.23
Will Leon Thomas win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$53.9
Will "Super Bowl" be said at the Grammys?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14.12
Will "A Matter Of Time - Laufey" win Best Traditional Pop Vocal Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Will "Who Believes In Angels - Elton John & Brandi Carlile" win Best Traditional Pop Vocal Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 2500000 and 2750000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$6.73
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be 4000000 or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+249.7%+$27.85
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.97
Will “The Fate of Ophelia” have between 30–35 million views on Friday at noon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.2
Will “The Fate of Ophelia” have between 25–30 million views on Friday at noon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will 'The Tortured Poets Department' win Album of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$62.03
Will 'The Rise and Fall of a Midwest Princess' win Album of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11.78
Will 'Die With A Smile' win Song of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$59.18
Will 'Now and Then' win Record of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$31.08
Will 'Deeper Well' win Best Country Album?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$32.62
Will 'Higher' win Best Country Album?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12.75
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$956Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+175.2%+$1,675.08
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,496Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$1,649.43
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$108
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$8.96
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$62.4
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$880
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$223.1
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$152
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$40
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+28.6%+$92.57
Foreign intervention in Gaza in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41
Another Iran strike on Israel in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT+29.9%+$46.23
Israel military action against Iraq before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$33.88
No Israel strike Iran on by Sunday Oct 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$414.09
Israel military response against Iran in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$619Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$618.51
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT+48.5%+$23.83
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$179.07
Iran strike on Israel before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$43.2
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+31.6%+$12
Iran military response by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT+35.1%+$4.48
All 21 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Ramsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+66.5%+$59.9
Will Lil Wayne perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Will Mustard perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$22.6
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+67.7%+$93.7
Will Jared Goff win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$19.04
Will another player win NFL MVP for the 2024-2025 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$21.06
Will Jayden Daniels win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+52.5%+$65.4
Will Kirk Cousins win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$21.33
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$13.43
Steelers vs. Commandersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+138.1%+$17.38
Will another coach be the first coach fired?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.11
NFL Week 4: Dirty Bird Specialbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+36.6%+$53.37
Will there be 676-700 points scored NFL Week 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$11
Polymarket Parlay: NFL Week 3backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$93.54
Will there be 625-650 points scored NFL Week 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will there be 726-750 points scored NFL Week 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.2
Scorigami in NFL Week 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$34.5
Polymarket Parlay - NFL Week 1backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT+73.9%+$51
Bengals extend Ja'Marr Chase before regular season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT+60.7%+$74.4
NFL Kickoff Parlay: Taylor Swift Special backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2024, EDT+46.5%+$34.59
All 20 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$839Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+35.2%+$295.7
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+257.1%+$57.6
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$749Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$748.67
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$95.97
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+252.4%+$188.34
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$140
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$167.4
Will Trump nominate Marco Rubio for Secretary of State?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+30.6%+$61.39
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$13.05
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$18.02
Will London Breed win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$325.97
Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$78.48
Will Aaron Peskin win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$130.57
Will Daniel Lurie win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+256.4%+$1,057.63
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-30.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$186.47
Zohran Mamdani Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+58.7%+$37
Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$35.34
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+138.1%+$29
Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$664Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+40.1%+$265.99
Will Republicans have 51 seats in Senate after election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$64
Will Republicans have 52 seats in Senate after election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$45
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$11.4
Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$20.9
Will a Republican win Nevada US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$13
Senate control after 2024 election?backed Republicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,022Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST+31.1%+$628
Will a Republican win Wisconsin US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$125.76
All 12 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25.82
Will Austria win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$35.5
Men's Quarterfinals - USA vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$252
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$62.82
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$27.7
Will Jakob Ingebrigtsen (NOR) win Gold in 5000m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$36.05
Simone Biles 3 gold medals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2024, EDT+395%+$39.8
Simone Biles wins 4 gold medals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.3
Katie Ledecky wins 3 gold medals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2024, EDT+31.6%+$6.81
Katie Ledecky wins 1 or fewer gold medals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2024, EDT+44.9%+$12.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-83.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Chess — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+49%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dogecoin reach $0.70 before December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+38.6%+$19.5
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$293.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.9
Megaquake by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$18.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fartcoin hit $0.7 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pershing Square IPO in 2024? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+28.2%+$6.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open Final: Sinner vs. Alcaraz? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX Starship launch by Nov 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$69.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.