NBA · resolved market
Will the Detroit Pistons finish with the best record in the NBA?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3659029a2ffcd2df378dad1d1a3f2c3a1d3662174aaca0c063beb46596084443
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 4,132$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Yes | 7c | 2,245$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.84 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e84…4b92backed Yes | 33c | 1,999$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.2 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 27c | 1,053$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.02 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae8…b7d8backed Yes | 10c | 1,023$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 67c | 784$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.12 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 2c | 754.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 4c | 632.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Yes | 25c | 485$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.8 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed Yes | 14c | 331.07$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -64%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e50…2043backed Yes | 32c | 309.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b1…8e10backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x162e…fe52backed Yes | 5c | 297.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 69c | 284.81$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.24 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b6…b3cabacked Yes | 13c | 254.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 25c | 201.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Yes | 21c | 191.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 463 | 48.4%224 W · 239 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…dda9backed Yes | 30c | 164.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 75c | 163.51$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 20c | 120.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 382 | 39.5%151 W · 231 L | +35.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3287…25f7backed Yes | 18c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…2357backed Yes | 12c | 101.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4813…c24abacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…ee8bbacked Yes | 15c | 97.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +46%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea72…d821backed No | 73c | 86.18$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…f0c2backed Yes | 36c | 82.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Yes | 23c | 47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 29c | 42.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c5…10a7backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +308.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…dec6backed No | 60c | 32.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked No | 71c | 17.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Detroit Pistons finish with the best record in the NBA?this page
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers finish with the best record in the NBA?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets finish with the best record in the NBA?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors finish with the best record in the NBA?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets finish with the best record in the NBA?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers finish with the best record in the NBA?No won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?Yes won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs finish with the best record in the NBA?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors finish with the best record in the NBA?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.