TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x05ad…dda9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: AI, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category AI at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.27
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$68.45
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.88
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.71
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$81.55
Will Jalen Duren win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.75
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+172.5%+$87.97
Will Tyrese Maxey lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.75
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$30.82
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$25.34
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will the Detroit Pistons finish with the best record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Boston Celtics finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+37.9%+$80.02
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+85.8%+$128.71
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.71
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$149
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$113.16
Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Norway vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$128.08
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41.69
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Morocco (-3.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$94.99
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$154.89
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$99.23
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Colombia 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$92.7
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.25
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$64.74
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.22
All 3 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$87.65
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$38.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.