NFL · resolved market
Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 seconds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2aa32121de4f31f93e173eb8746fa3f0315859ebae4ba2d2809397605408aa07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3bcf…e964backed Under | 72c | 13,435$9,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,769.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9056…9754backed Under | 75c | 12,670$9,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,109.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…68bcbacked Over | 29c | 8,283$2,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0462…cddebacked Over | 24c | 5,587$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.91 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 58c | 4,557$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.1 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 30c | 4,549$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.67 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Under | 60c | 4,012$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.69 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Over | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0086…a766backed Under | 59c | 3,775$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Under | 71c | 3,147$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.72 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed Under | 72c | 2,905$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.05 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +377.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Over | 31c | 2,608$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Over | 31c | 2,071$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.19 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked Over | 31c | 2,024$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…709cbacked Under | 68c | 1,838$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed Over | 40c | 1,827$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b73…bd19backed Over | 28c | 1,784$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Over | 28c | 1,774$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa07…49f2backed Over | 47c | 1,652$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Under | 76c | 1,599$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.68 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed Under | 72c | 1,533$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.83 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Under | 75c | 1,461$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Over | 28c | 1,413$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.63 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…3c35backed Under | 71c | 1,403$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.04 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…8174backed Over | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Over | 22c | 1,080$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.2 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…025ebacked Over | 29c | 1,017$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c5…a280backed Over | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Under | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x665c…307bbacked Over | 30c | 990$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 3c | 981.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…3059backed Over | 30c | 966$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1e…2240backed Over | 29c | 958.62$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a2…dd48backed Over | 28c | 957.14$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44d…4869backed Over | 39c | 927.95$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Over | 26c | 897.09$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.83 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d5…69adbacked Over | 40c | 839.35$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db7…d20ebacked Under | 71c | 817.42$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…e455backed Under | 72c | 801.89$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.99 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…a8c5backed Under | 64c | 777.36$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x990b…cacabacked Over | 30c | 749.66$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06d2…fb27backed Over | 29c | 734.17$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 70c | 715.81$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.68 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…8b21backed Over | 36c | 706.84$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 34c | 702.54$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.86 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Over | 20c | 700$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ef…39c1backed Under | 72c | 635.66$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb1…c109backed Over | 31c | 631.08$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59a5…7bb5backed Under | 67c | 600$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 70c | 571.13$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.85 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8e…841dbacked Over | 41c | 570$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c48…0d1abacked Over | 35c | 558.19$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Over | 39c | 510.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Under | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4353…50d4backed Over | 30c | 496.13$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed Under | 76c | 468.24$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4edf…275fbacked Over | 28c | 457.08$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Over | 22c | 450$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x462e…8912backed Over | 34c | 437.58$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…d89abacked Over | 30c | 416.43$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed Over | 29c | 409.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Over | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051f…66b0backed Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…1a9bbacked Under | 70c | 377.74$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Under | 70c | 361.52$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382f…4fa6backed Over | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Over | 40c | 331.52$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.52 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Under | 72c | 326.76$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.46 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…ce8abacked Over | 30c | 325.72$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.03 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Over | 31c | 323.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c2…8915backed Over | 32c | 316.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Under | 50c | 313.02$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.51 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…178bbacked Over | 30c | 305.93$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Over | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -87.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Under | 72c | 300$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd7…4c73backed Under | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b0f6backed Under | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c24…8c06backed Over | 36c | 299.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8547…39abbacked Under | 63c | 297$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c5…29cfbacked Under | 77c | 260.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Under | 77c | 251.32$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.51 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed Over | 55c | 250$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.5 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…55bdbacked Over | 35c | 249.18$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5f…95e2backed Over | 29c | 249.13$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…d936backed Over | 28c | 248.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec17…44bcbacked Under | 75c | 245.08$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.52 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4adf…21e0backed Over | 40c | 233.02$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Under | 67c | 225.87$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Over | 27c | 221.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…61e1backed Over | 43c | 218.78$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 72c | 215.73$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.61 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…5ea3backed Under | 63c | 215$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d92…7c66backed Over | 24c | 205.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…8432backed Over | 24c | 205.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…fe06backed Over | 32c | 204.88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Over | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…7e02backed Over | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b332backed Over | 43c | 200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…4a93backed Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.