TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc2be…66b0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
353
Categories scored
41
Categories below 50
24

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 59 out of 100; worst Earnings at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT4942.9%21 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.5
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.86
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$43.15
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.98
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.72
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.66
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$117.46
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.17
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.67
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.97
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.05
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+406.2%+$231.15
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+532.9%+$210.5
LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.47
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.09
LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$72.49
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$88.89
LoL: Solary vs BIG (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.5
LoL: Misa Esports vs French Flair (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked French Flair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT3655.6%20 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tayte Willows win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$21.6
Will Caley McDonald win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12.8
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$177.61
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.5
Will CD win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.24
Will Tisza win at least 110 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$85
Will Tisza win at least 100 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.4
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$21.6
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.13
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$30.05
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$128
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$129.99
Will the Social Democrats win 40-44 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will Liberal Alliance win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Venstre win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$132.2
Will Tarique Rahman be the next Prime Minister of Bangladesh after the Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+37%+$14.93
Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$144
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+371.8%+$82.26
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,371Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+57.5%+$788.01
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$183.99
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$21.34
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT3148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.36
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$19.4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$103.56
Will Iran strike Iraq again in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+367.4%+$3,380
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$913Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+130.1%+$1,188.45
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$674Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+181.9%+$1,225.87
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+132.6%+$45.6
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$108
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+257.1%+$86.4
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+117.4%+$108
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,963Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,962.66
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$148
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,024.42
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+75.1%+$108.2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$195.09
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$95.29
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$93.6
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Khamenei public appearance by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+113.8%+$418.19
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will between 5000-5500 US flights be delayed on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+83.4%+$187.32
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+233.3%+$140
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$865Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$864.91
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$20
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+102.3%+$217.4
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.8
Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+108.3%+$26
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$35.63
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+44.9%+$62
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+145.9%+$75.74
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$229.5
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.03
Will Stephen Hawking be named in the Epstein survivors' list?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+37.1%+$21.65
Trump approval Up or Down this week?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.5
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
Will courts block Trump's 100k H1b by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.34
Democratic Margin of victory in VA-11 special election at least 45%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$290
Will Trump talk to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.8
Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.88
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+90.5%+$118.75
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.49
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$600
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BIG (BO3) - HLC Belgrade Pro Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$390
Counter-Strike: ESC Gaming vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Playoffsbacked ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$71.39
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$39.88
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$170.27
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+195.6%+$117.34
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$22.6
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+46%+$31.5
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+35.8%+$31.65
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
All 19 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+525%+$84
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$37.7
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.82
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.8
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$83
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$35.7
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$94.64
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$76.5
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+31.6%+$10.36
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+69.5%+$82
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$153.05
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$170.5
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.34
All 19 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+525%+$83.96
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C or higher on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.8
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$129.07
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+227.2%+$64.09
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.26
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.98
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.83
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.97
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22.75
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.5
Will there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+44.9%+$48.18
All 18 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.4
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 6?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Houthis successfully target shipping by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.78
Will 40-44 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.37
Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.83
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.25
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$7.09
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$24.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-65.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will BTS perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.1
Will Poland win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.96
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+31.6%+$31.2
Will Slovakia win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$145
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$674Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$674.16
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+49.6%+$239.97
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$57.73
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$875Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+112.1%+$981.51
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$514Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+30.4%+$156
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.5
Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+55.1%+$221.88
Will Jerome Powell say "Recession" during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.78
All 11 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.75
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+26.6%+$105
Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$34.5
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+150%+$42.36
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$122
Will $HYPE be the next coin listed on Robinhood?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will another coin be the next listed on Robinhood?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+64.6%+$28.24
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid+37.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$61.8
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Super Bowl LX have between 128M and 132M viewers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+69.5%+$61.5
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 30 and 40 million views on day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$85.2
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 40 and 50 million views on day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+833.7%+$202.53
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+36.1%+$26.5
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 secondsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$118.9
Will Mike McDaniel be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$34.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-63.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Earnings — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kinder Morgan (KMI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.6
Will Conagra Brands (CAG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.6
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will CarMax (KMX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Will La-Z-Boy (LZB) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Will McCormick & Company (MKC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will CBRE Group (CBRE) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.2
Will Halliburton (HAL) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$117
Will Bullish (BLSH) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-43.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will "Hamnet" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Will "Tyler Perry's Joe's College Road Trip" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41
Will Rose Byrne be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$29.4
Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 17m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+53.8%+$38.5
Will "The Smashing Machine" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 11m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$252
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-38.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid+92.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+38.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+54.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-71%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
IPO — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+131.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+99.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2024, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-60.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+274.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+509.8%+$167.2
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST+38.9%+$13.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$300
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.2
Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$62.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$530
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$148.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Venkatesh Pranav vs Nodirbek Yakubboev (Advances)backed Yakubboev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+69.5%+$82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham beat AZ Alkmaar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT+40.8%+$50.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid reach $92 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be >7 minutes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.