Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by next Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23dcceb0f954892ee923b19b383a5c465becc4c79012491ad88daf9b51de2558
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,481
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 2c | 5,042$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.05 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 4c | 4,098$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.81 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 4c | 3,998$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…f860backed Yes | 16c | 3,788$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3371…5871backed Yes | 1c | 2,416$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 1c | 2,080$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed Yes | 16c | 1,839$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,725$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.19 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…84f7backed Yes | 45c | 1,295$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 57c | 1,286$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.54 | 144 | 56.9%82 W · 62 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe87f…9d9bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7024…4c4cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3eb…3c47backed Yes | 8c | 805.09$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14f…d46dbacked No | 79c | 792.01$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.52 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 63c | 721.08$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.8 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf85b…5663backed Yes | 42c | 712.43$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.21 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 78c | 691.42$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.31 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x711e…2091backed No | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 12c | 463.87$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x439a…e4e4backed Yes | 29c | 447.34$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b7…671ebacked No | 36c | 411.76$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked Yes | 54c | 409.78$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.08 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked No | 79c | 346.98$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.75 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 31c | 341.87$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.89 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 44c | 311$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.6 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…7bc1backed Yes | 74c | 299.98$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.99 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed Yes | 70c | 280$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 63c | 275.76$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.73 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…e78bbacked No | 42c | 231.09$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.93 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a9…6a74backed No | 31c | 230$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 6c | 222$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 62c | 213.73$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.69 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…9105backed Yes | 18c | 202.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a67…a78ebacked Yes | 15c | 199.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf478…aaa2backed Yes | 74c | 195.81$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9e…518ebacked Yes | 51c | 194.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +12.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 18c | 186.28$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.1 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 17c | 179.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +79%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…a125backed Yes | 49c | 176.34$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…5fe3backed No | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…980bbacked No | 25c | 169.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.72 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…baa3backed Yes | 69c | 165.9$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed Yes | 25c | 153.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 26c | 145.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.17 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 13c | 131.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed No | 32c | 130$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…a137backed No | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 17c | 121.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 171 | 22.2%38 W · 133 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74b5…e2ffbacked Yes | 40c | 120.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b54…6e4fbacked No | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…aba8backed Yes | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339d…0d97backed Yes | 76c | 110$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 25c | 108.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2384…3e0bbacked No | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa136…2965backed Yes | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked No | 22c | 99.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.97 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…a970backed No | 72c | 83.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef61…5871backed No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32fe…091ebacked No | 24c | 74.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…e125backed Yes | 75c | 70$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…f82ebacked Yes | 59c | 68.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 21c | 66.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 43c | 66.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85e4…79adbacked No | 46c | 65.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 60c | 65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 18c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x978b…2284backed No | 35c | 56.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 77c | 56.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked No | 69c | 55.11$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ea…0140backed No | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x124a…1332backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…793cbacked Yes | 79c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7f…7ab2backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…822cbacked Yes | 42c | 48.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2884…d0c3backed Yes | 66c | 47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0015…1daebacked No | 30c | 44.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e95…2880backed No | 24c | 44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed No | 31c | 41.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…d32abacked No | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaed7…8f85backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095a…780cbacked No | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c23…b6a1backed No | 35c | 31.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133f…0792backed Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2acb…8d7ebacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd9…bd75backed Yes | 75c | 27.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ee…9d12backed Yes | 78c | 25.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9c…1bd6backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…48bcbacked No | 48c | 20.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.