Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x044440d4646655b462481ebfcfb389f0a5d27e53639f67350effe2f525eaa4ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd01…d8cdbacked Yes | 4c | 2,382$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.52 | 332 | 43.1%143 W · 189 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 19c | 598.17$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.54 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 30c | 389.42$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.62 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 29c | 382.01$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.45 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 70c | 307.87$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.2 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…4676backed Yes | 36c | 280.8$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.09 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 74c | 257.84$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.13 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 29c | 249.94$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8110…c1babacked No | 73c | 196.6$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 74c | 192.13$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.69 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 27c | 191.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 27c | 176.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99cd…bafbbacked Yes | 72c | 165.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74f…25c0backed No | 68c | 141.87$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.04 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 25c | 141.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…7379backed Yes | 25c | 134.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 456 | 19.1%87 W · 369 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 26c | 132.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 23c | 125.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…a01abacked Yes | 11c | 120.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 616 | 59.3%365 W · 251 L | +68.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…6351backed No | 32c | 120$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 71c | 118.68$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8093…b208backed Yes | 68c | 116.16$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 61c | 111.67$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 25c | 109.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 74c | 109.8$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9795…1b84backed No | 68c | 108.8$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6372…4a25backed No | 70c | 103.92$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 410 | 70.5%289 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…4bd3backed Yes | 26c | 103.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf5…606bbacked No | 63c | 100.01$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 76c | 99.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 25c | 99.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e04…d367backed No | 75c | 99.2$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 89 | 69.7%62 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed No | 73c | 99.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 91 | 76.9%70 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 73c | 97.18$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5209…b249backed Yes | 73c | 97.17$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3182…4ff7backed No | 74c | 96.27$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 141 | 68.1%96 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 64c | 95.89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 17c | 95.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 599 | 23.5%141 W · 458 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 73c | 94.81$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 23c | 89.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c23…56ecbacked Yes | 31c | 88.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 301 | 41.2%124 W · 177 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…f315backed Yes | 30c | 83.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 139 | 30.2%42 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x052e…ade1backed Yes | 24c | 80.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 283 | 29.3%83 W · 200 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked No | 74c | 80.38$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 118 | 74.6%88 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…e462backed Yes | 23c | 76.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 19c | 72.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 75c | 72.37$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed No | 75c | 70.52$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x174c…4351backed Yes | 21c | 67.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…37e0backed Yes | 28c | 64.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 310 | 29.7%92 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 73c | 61.19$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…a996backed Yes | 31c | 60.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab14…e786backed Yes | 26c | 59.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f4…63d9backed Yes | 33c | 56.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9c…1450backed No | 74c | 55.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -21.9wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 46c | 54.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 76c | 52.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 22c | 50.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6def…7849backed No | 77c | 50.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…52f0backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…28b8backed Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…9236backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 354 | 32.5%115 W · 239 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a9…2227backed No | 77c | 49.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 71 | 73.2%52 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe036…c94abacked Yes | 64c | 49.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 44c | 49.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…3addbacked Yes | 24c | 48.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…4f8bbacked Yes | 34c | 46.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…4c83backed Yes | 30c | 46.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…1071backed Yes | 34c | 46.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce1…c33abacked No | 67c | 46.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 149 | 61.1%91 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b2…21f4backed Yes | 35c | 45.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 297 | 70.4%209 W · 88 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 47c | 45.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 73c | 44.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…839abacked Yes | 26c | 43.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 281 | 19.9%56 W · 225 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 46c | 43.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 146 | 32.9%48 W · 98 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 27c | 43.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…454abacked No | 66c | 42.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 73c | 39.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 72c | 38.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…5e41backed No | 76c | 38.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed No | 70c | 35.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe744…67a8backed No | 76c | 33.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 154 | 77.9%120 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 75cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 73c | 33.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…6737backed Yes | 33c | 33.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…e255backed No | 43c | 32.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 41c | 28.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 336 | 20.2%68 W · 268 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 76c | 28.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…4d6dbacked No | 68c | 28.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffc1…b93dbacked No | 78c | 27.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…fc4abacked No | 71c | 27.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfda7…66dbbacked Yes | 72c | 26.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed No | 77c | 26.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 327 | 60.6%198 W · 129 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80dd…3ce5backed Yes | 58c | 26.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 72c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…695fbacked No | 77c | 25.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ce…e92abacked No | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 124 | 67.7%84 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…a655backed No | 71c | 24.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 62 | 75.8%47 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 66c | 24.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed No | 74c | 24.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 2?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C or higher on April 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.