TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfee8…4bd3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT3046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.13
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$910Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+27.5%+$250.36
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+51.2%+$102.66
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$64.36
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$226.15
Will Trump say "Crime" or "Stabbed in the ass" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$193.17
Will Trump say "Kennedy" or "Autism" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$591Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$591.3
Will Trump say "Trump" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$559Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+44.8%+$250.37
Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$549.56
Will Donald Trump say "Syria / Syrian" 10+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$80.7
Will Donald Trump say "Bibi" during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$343.61
Will Donald Trump say "Hottest" during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$451.73
Will Trump say "Bibi" during Egypt summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$177
Will Trump say "8 Wars" during Egypt summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.83
Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace prize" during Egypt summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.25
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during Egypt summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$134.04
Will Trump say "Reconstruction" during Egypt summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+77.1%+$91.05
Will Trump say "Erdogan" during Egypt summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$70.72
Will Trump say "Hottest" during Egypt summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+144%+$165.24
Will Trump say "Steve" or "Jared" during Egypt summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+36.9%+$127.73
Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.88
Will Trump say "Hottest" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+89.5%+$254.83
Will Trump say "Bibi" 3+ times during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$105.1
Will Trump say "Eight Wars" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+47.5%+$30.77
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$683Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.2%+$178.81
Will None in 2025 occur?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$124.71
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,570Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,569.6
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+38.9%+$81.23
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,039Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,038.53
Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$633Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+58%+$367.2
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.83
Will Trump say "Aluminum" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.24
Will Trump say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$160.8
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 4+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+144.9%+$367.07
Will Trump say "Gaza" or "Israel" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+44.4%+$109.69
Will Trump send the national guard to Chicago?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,189Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,188.6
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,122Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,122.36
Will courts block Trump's 100k H1b by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$92
Will Trump say Biden 3+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+90.4%+$409.41
Will Trump say UN / United Nations during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$26.38
Will Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+176.4%+$227.71
Will Trump talk to Narendra Modi in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+173.6%+$917.04
Will Trump talk to Benjamin Netanyahu in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+25%+$58.72
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+37.7%+$24.38
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$128.46
All 21 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.02
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.37
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.94
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.61
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on April 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.22
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.41
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C or higher on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.12
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.48
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+131.6%+$69.06
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.06
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+254%+$111.98
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C or higher on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.08
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.97
Will Trump say "Hottest" or "Hot" during Inter Miami events on Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$70.4
All 16 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+74.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.35
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$332.46
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.07
Will Kim Moon-soo win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.66
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$720.34
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,673Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$668.22
Cho Tae-yong in jail by November 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$69
Park Sung-jae in jail by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+289.6%+$1,388.39
Will JLP (Jamaica Labour Party) win the most seats in the 2025 Jamaica House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+45.2%+$114.55
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+66.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,454Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,454.24
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+74.5%+$440.99
Will Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$354.27
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$183.27
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+74.3%+$174.8
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+323.7%+$134.66
Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+176.2%+$19.13
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$27.85
All 8 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-37.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Korea Republic win on 2025-09-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+52.2%+$114.36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.