Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump say Biden 3+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f011f6672f23cd7a438614bbc1411f16fae5b155088193ae645db6062e222c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1178…be0dbacked No | 40c | 2,840$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.37 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 57cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 58c | 1,443$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.83 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1141…55b1backed Yes | 36c | 1,226$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.73 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Yes | 50c | 1,071$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.81 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…4bd3backed Yes | 53c | 862.31$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.41 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd466…6ce6backed Yes | 57c | 854.08$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 48c | 645.04$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.55 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed No | 44c | 628.12$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.37 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…ef97backed Yes | 38c | 555$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.1 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 54c | 536.86$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.41 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 126 | 19.8%25 W · 101 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 12c | 499.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +12.8wins | +0.26per pick | 17cpaid | +218.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed No | 42c | 492.64$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.93 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed Yes | 57c | 475.73$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.97 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 51c | 454.99$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.26 | 235 | 43.8%103 W · 132 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cec…dc3ebacked No | 49c | 448.64$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed Yes | 13c | 443.37$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.73 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 59c | 430.82$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.31 | 184 | 45.1%83 W · 101 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked Yes | 55c | 416.92$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.37 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…7e0abacked Yes | 49c | 399.99$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.3 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +8.4wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed Yes | 63c | 399.98$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.14 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x852a…3188backed Yes | 52c | 388.06$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.76 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x72f4…4f20backed No | 43c | 345.35$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…fafbbacked Yes | 41c | 333.83$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.62 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 30c | 332.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.09 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 11c | 318$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 111 | 21.6%24 W · 87 L | +11.4wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +179.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 11c | 317.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +212.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Yes | 52c | 315.19$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.14 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Yes | 58c | 299.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 59c | 299.04$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.61 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c5…7069backed No | 47c | 298.24$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf920…4d4ebacked No | 69c | 290.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0356…5273backed No | 42c | 290$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed No | 60c | 283.61$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.86 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed No | 58c | 272.09$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf6…cf40backed No | 33c | 266$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.89 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9da5…61d5backed No | 45c | 250$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 52c | 236.68$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.42 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Yes | 51c | 236.38$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.04 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 44c | 227$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 136 | 73.5%100 W · 36 L | +28.4wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x17e8…1031backed No | 40c | 212.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfe…5f1ebacked Yes | 61c | 212$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…63d8backed Yes | 48c | 199.98$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes | 67c | 193.29$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked No | 43c | 190.5$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.59 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…dcfebacked Yes | 32c | 189.08$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 50c | 183$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 49c | 179.84$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.12 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 41c | 177.08$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.91 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc2…5003backed No | 33c | 170$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 44c | 161.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 48c | 157.4$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…eba9backed Yes | 44c | 157$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.51 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0af4…89b4backed Yes | 33c | 155$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.85 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…37dabacked Yes | 61c | 133$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed Yes | 61c | 127$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.26 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…57febacked No | 37c | 122.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 35c | 121$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Yes | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +141.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…a000backed No | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1d…e3c3backed No | 42c | 118.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa80…79ebbacked No | 43c | 111.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…f5a9backed No | 59c | 110$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…f68dbacked Yes | 57c | 109.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 53c | 102.29$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…087fbacked No | 49c | 101.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…62efbacked Yes | 63c | 100.47$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42d8…ff9bbacked No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…d823backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x00e8…531fbacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…175dbacked Yes | 59c | 99.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…7cd6backed No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…390bbacked No | 52c | 94.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd061…d5e4backed No | 57c | 82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed No | 50c | 82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2541…60acbacked No | 39c | 76.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e6…2b17backed Yes | 48c | 75.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 37c | 71.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee3d…501bbacked Yes | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…72c0backed No | 33c | 64.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…76f2backed No | 47c | 63.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…9cdebacked No | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…3dbabacked No | 43c | 57.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3e…03c7backed No | 42c | 57.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…9816backed No | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d0…77cbbacked Yes | 30c | 55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…7ba1backed No | 39c | 54.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 62c | 53.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2762…d65abacked No | 57c | 52.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e99…9206backed Yes | 44c | 50.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +39%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…0e01backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say Biden 3+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?this page
- Will Trump say Bibi during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Erdogan / Turkey during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Fake news during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
- Will Trump say Gaza 5+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Hell during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Hezbollah during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
- Will Trump say Israel 7+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Palestine during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
- Will Trump say Qatar during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Sick person during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
- Will Trump say Thousand / Million / Billion 10+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
- Will Trump say TikTok during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
- Will Trump say UN / United Nations during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Young people during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.