Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump say Palestine during Netanyahu events on September 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04534cbc73939f415acd59ad5ac90f2d9c88d49981b8a6b70f7724d434c5aca8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1141…55b1backed Yes | 29c | 4,277$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.2 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…8df7backed Yes | 41c | 2,606$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbab0…2b4abacked No | 65c | 2,068$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 37c | 1,052$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.3 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 65c | 999.98$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…9016backed Yes | 27c | 900$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 31c | 883.25$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.83 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf6…cf40backed Yes | 34c | 865.62$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.45 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 36c | 829.23$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.12 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 61c | 735.53$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.17 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed Yes | 9c | 693.94$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…3a9fbacked No | 64c | 587.52$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.02 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 61c | 555$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.45 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3726…8568backed No | 65c | 500.07$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…e74fbacked Yes | 33c | 500$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.05 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x852a…3188backed No | 63c | 492.3$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.04 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…ad24backed Yes | 62c | 486.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 38c | 465$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked No | 60c | 458$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.2 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed No | 65c | 456$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.16 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…5c9dbacked No | 63c | 438$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…dcfebacked Yes | 41c | 392.43$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 60c | 386.86$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.37 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9da5…61d5backed Yes | 30c | 368.46$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 67c | 366.81$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.45 | 184 | 45.1%83 W · 101 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed No | 64c | 353.77$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 66c | 292.75$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.98 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked No | 64c | 290.64$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…368cbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -87%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…9873backed Yes | 77c | 285.7$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…651fbacked No | 60c | 283.42$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed No | 61c | 281.72$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.76 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…57febacked Yes | 34c | 279.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…bb63backed Yes | 38c | 263.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf322…1cf1backed Yes | 54c | 260.04$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f4…4f20backed Yes | 31c | 252.16$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe22…4026backed Yes | 40c | 242.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ba…2589backed Yes | 36c | 237.81$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed No | 59c | 237.61$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.42 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed No | 21c | 215.19$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f1…0593backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee3d…501bbacked Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked No | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…a000backed No | 72c | 179.17$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…eba9backed No | 61c | 179.03$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.14 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 68c | 168.18$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…72e7backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…e4cfbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1d…e3c3backed Yes | 31c | 160.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eeb…4286backed No | 62c | 159.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 63c | 158.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.06 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 32c | 157.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes | 49c | 148.23$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed Yes | 76c | 145.57$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ab07backed Yes | 38c | 143$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…2374backed Yes | 40c | 140$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed Yes | 31c | 140$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…9564backed No | 64c | 134.31$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…05babacked No | 61c | 129.87$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0d…79cebacked Yes | 31c | 128.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed No | 62c | 126.02$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 33c | 125$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed No | 64c | 109.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7c…8356backed No | 60c | 101.17$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc2…5003backed No | 61c | 100.25$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e6…2b17backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5e…23d8backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e7…1f5ebacked No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc74…216cbacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.9wins | -0.43per pick | 65cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x64c5…feeabacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…7133backed Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37ba…fac1backed Yes | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed No | 66c | 95.41$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked No | 64c | 91.96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd061…d5e4backed Yes | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 29c | 87.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 60c | 86.85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…67f3backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2b…66b9backed Yes | 50c | 79.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed No | 64c | 79.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 69c | 75.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a07…05c1backed No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 40c | 75.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -89.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed No | 67c | 74.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f20…086abacked No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…a487backed Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48da…0419backed No | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee8…523bbacked Yes | 36c | 69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0006…5906backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0417…ddecbacked Yes | 44c | 62.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a3…c495backed Yes | 49c | 60.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +136.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddf…1b96backed Yes | 33c | 59.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Yes | 33c | 58.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed No | 69c | 56.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +7.0wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Yes | 38c | 56.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43da…7457backed Yes | 52c | 53.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…119bbacked No | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…c5a2backed No | 67c | 52.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say Palestine during Netanyahu events on September 29?this page
- Will Trump say Bibi during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Biden 3+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Erdogan / Turkey during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Fake news during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
- Will Trump say Gaza 5+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Hell during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Hezbollah during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
- Will Trump say Israel 7+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Qatar during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Sick person during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
- Will Trump say Thousand / Million / Billion 10+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
- Will Trump say TikTok during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
- Will Trump say UN / United Nations during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Young people during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.