Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump say Young people during Netanyahu events on September 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa022057ec2ebd570b91dd33b530b3f68905419bf5dcc0f20c486a21d3cdc570e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 63c | 499.98$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.99 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Yes | 37c | 458.36$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.55 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd466…6ce6backed Yes | 33c | 422.42$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed Yes | 37c | 402.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.63 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…49f7backed No | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…9b16backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 34c | 351.96$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.84 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…368cbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -87%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…7e0abacked No | 58c | 260$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +8.4wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked No | 65c | 245.37$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.92 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd412…286cbacked Yes | 42c | 238.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 37c | 223.08$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.47 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe367…abd9backed No | 75c | 220.87$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 64c | 213$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.68 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 65c | 206.01$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 31c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed No | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c5…feeabacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 36c | 195.51$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +39%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c63…555ebacked Yes | 44c | 187.29$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 66c | 185$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 55c | 181.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.89 | 136 | 73.5%100 W · 36 L | +28.4wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…eba9backed Yes | 37c | 162.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.53 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ba…2589backed Yes | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 184 | 45.1%83 W · 101 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…48a2backed No | 67c | 148.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 65c | 137.94$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…62efbacked Yes | 42c | 134.42$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 66c | 130$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 235 | 43.8%103 W · 132 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked Yes | 35c | 123.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…37dabacked Yes | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed No | 67c | 115.57$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked No | 58c | 110.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed Yes | 30c | 110.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…175dbacked No | 65c | 87$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…5fd4backed No | 66c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf6…cf40backed Yes | 29c | 56.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2705…9096backed Yes | 39c | 50.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931b…07c5backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…fafbbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeea7…79adbacked No | 69c | 49.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked No | 62c | 45.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5906…c04cbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 48cpaid | -84%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…8f8dbacked No | 70c | 37.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…1630backed No | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28d9…17bbbacked No | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…f634backed Yes | 43c | 33.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ba…ad90backed No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7856…411cbacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0816…377abacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c73…0fd5backed No | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…4ed0backed No | 72c | 24.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked No | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5517…ab11backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…bf33backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6471…457abacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say Young people during Netanyahu events on September 29?this page
- Will Trump say Bibi during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Biden 3+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Erdogan / Turkey during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Fake news during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
- Will Trump say Gaza 5+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Hell during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Hezbollah during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
- Will Trump say Israel 7+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Palestine during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
- Will Trump say Qatar during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Sick person during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
- Will Trump say Thousand / Million / Billion 10+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
- Will Trump say TikTok during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
- Will Trump say UN / United Nations during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.