Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump say Bibi during Netanyahu events on September 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc984eccf1eab6dab9fe44cc9d24e64bec47f053bde9ba298d59aed39cd07d212
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 17c | 1,305$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.73 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed No | 15c | 932.63$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.17 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81de…6f1fbacked Yes | 77c | 784.32$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 76c | 775.08$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.91 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed No | 22c | 774.09$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.7 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a3…ab99backed No | 25c | 717.87$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +645.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…5f7fbacked No | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed No | 23c | 526$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.94 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…b63dbacked No | 35c | 521.09$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.85 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 28c | 504.41$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.66 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 75c | 448.66$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.16 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed No | 38c | 447.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…4bfbbacked Yes | 77c | 420.39$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.69 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 18c | 416.76$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.61 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ad…e148backed Yes | 65c | 400$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.0wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed No | 22c | 394.63$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.66 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 32c | 370.26$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.6 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33ce…a3efbacked Yes | 68c | 369.19$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…4ed0backed No | 28c | 362.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed Yes | 79c | 360$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…862ebacked No | 22c | 334.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 73c | 334.88$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.82 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…1587backed Yes | 80c | 332.78$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.21 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c5…feeabacked No | 40c | 311$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.29 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…3eecbacked Yes | 76c | 307$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.13 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +562.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes | 64c | 280$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed Yes | 78c | 272.5$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 79c | 260$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 22c | 251.04$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed No | 35c | 249.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 67c | 241.82$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.69 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -89.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x852a…3188backed Yes | 66c | 240$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed No | 21c | 236.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd466…6ce6backed Yes | 66c | 236.33$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 32c | 234.47$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 65c | 233.48$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.56 | 184 | 45.1%83 W · 101 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed No | 24c | 229.41$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 33c | 222.44$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.9 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe367…abd9backed No | 34c | 220.6$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…7cd6backed No | 19c | 207.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1d…e3c3backed No | 25c | 197.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…63d8backed Yes | 79c | 188.58$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked Yes | 77c | 181.68$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Yes | 74c | 167.73$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed Yes | 80c | 167.73$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed No | 26c | 160.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 71c | 157$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…8bb3backed No | 32c | 157$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe22…4026backed No | 40c | 147.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 23c | 142.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed No | 24c | 124.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 67c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 235 | 43.8%103 W · 132 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…b678backed No | 26c | 114.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7c…8356backed Yes | 71c | 112.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…06f9backed No | 37c | 107.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee8…523bbacked Yes | 65c | 107$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 25c | 106$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 65c | 100.11$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5e…23d8backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc2…5003backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd061…d5e4backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…fafbbacked No | 21c | 79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +39%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed No | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…7806backed No | 21c | 70.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f1…0593backed No | 44c | 68.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c60…ea1dbacked Yes | 67c | 61.1$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed No | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa80d…035ebacked No | 40c | 59.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3e…e671backed No | 36c | 56.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Yes | 71c | 54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…f68dbacked Yes | 57c | 50.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x411d…31edbacked Yes | 64c | 50.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…129abacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc1…d7acbacked Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Yes | 73c | 48.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…09cdbacked No | 28c | 44.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 71c | 43.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea7…79adbacked Yes | 76c | 42.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd383…c77abacked Yes | 77c | 39.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadcb…4b08backed No | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28d9…17bbbacked Yes | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed No | 35c | 34.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…ef97backed Yes | 60c | 32.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…3a9fbacked No | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeacd…8143backed No | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9e…70bcbacked Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2541…60acbacked Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a2…973cbacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a7…4fdfbacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0534…14fcbacked Yes | 79c | 18.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x568b…983abacked Yes | 79c | 18.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…c317backed Yes | 65c | 15.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed Yes | 68c | 15.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +7.0wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say Bibi during Netanyahu events on September 29?this page
- Will Trump say Biden 3+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Erdogan / Turkey during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Fake news during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
- Will Trump say Gaza 5+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Hell during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Hezbollah during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
- Will Trump say Israel 7+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Palestine during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
- Will Trump say Qatar during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Sick person during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
- Will Trump say Thousand / Million / Billion 10+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
- Will Trump say TikTok during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
- Will Trump say UN / United Nations during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Young people during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.