Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump say Thousand / Million / Billion 10+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5477d9828eb02b53d34d33768d652678dbde6be9455b905b1d7269d2cf38bd1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1141…55b1backed Yes | 34c | 2,306$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.14 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee69…05d0backed Yes | 55c | 2,258$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,008$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 55c | 999.76$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.5 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked No | 38c | 997.28$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.89 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 23c | 856.25$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.06 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…5ba0backed No | 74c | 790.77$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ce…a3efbacked No | 48c | 768.35$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…fafbbacked No | 37c | 745.7$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.09 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…8df7backed Yes | 67c | 730.89$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33ae…6366backed Yes | 53c | 710$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked No | 52c | 605.94$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e194backed No | 45c | 593.44$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 126 | 19.8%25 W · 101 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 35c | 500$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.44 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…ef97backed Yes | 41c | 487.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed No | 41c | 459$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.81 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…63d8backed Yes | 54c | 450$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eeb…4286backed No | 42c | 442.83$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked Yes | 56c | 434.2$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.34 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…5f7fbacked Yes | 64c | 420.5$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 39c | 411.65$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.86 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e3…cad2backed No | 44c | 410.02$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.61 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…5c9dbacked Yes | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ad…e148backed No | 39c | 400$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.24 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.0wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xedf6…cf40backed Yes | 50c | 377.52$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.46 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed No | 52c | 348.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.54 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 54c | 338.85$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.57 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 45c | 333.63$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.88 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed No | 32c | 270$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.6 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…57febacked Yes | 58c | 269.98$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.69 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed No | 47c | 256.87$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.14 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 39c | 256$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.16 | 136 | 73.5%100 W · 36 L | +28.4wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed Yes | 56c | 251.92$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.89 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed No | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed Yes | 57c | 242.26$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.17 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 55c | 237$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.81 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed No | 44c | 228.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.55 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a8…ad91backed No | 44c | 225.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 61c | 224.9$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.77 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 63c | 209.77$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.57 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 38c | 199.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.99 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed No | 40c | 197$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.91 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 63c | 186.23$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed Yes | 55c | 169.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.13 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72f4…4f20backed No | 59c | 168.28$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd466…6ce6backed Yes | 65c | 163.18$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d7…e193backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x852a…3188backed Yes | 61c | 160$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd412…286cbacked Yes | 63c | 159.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…368cbacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -87%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x825f…0997backed No | 42c | 142.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…8f83backed No | 47c | 129.83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1d…e3c3backed No | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 59c | 121.45$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.35 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 62c | 120$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.6 | 235 | 43.8%103 W · 132 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…3a9fbacked Yes | 57c | 118$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 62c | 111$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 41c | 110$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +39%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad59…cb41backed No | 52c | 101.57$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…62efbacked Yes | 62c | 100.85$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…76f2backed No | 45c | 100.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked No | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.48 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed No | 44c | 96.41$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +141.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Yes | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…1ef4backed No | 44c | 95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x568b…983abacked No | 42c | 89.77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0534…14fcbacked No | 42c | 89.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked No | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…d453backed No | 55c | 83.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed Yes | 45c | 83.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc975…2c68backed No | 50c | 82.51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 58c | 80.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2945…862ebacked No | 45c | 73.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 60c | 73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed Yes | 48c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffc…3887backed No | 58c | 59.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbf…f6b2backed No | 54c | 56.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28d9…17bbbacked No | 35c | 55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…d2f2backed No | 46c | 53.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes | 61c | 53.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bf…8ecebacked Yes | 43c | 50.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7856…411cbacked Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e6…2b17backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +7.0wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed No | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8b…1f0abacked Yes | 56c | 49.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…1630backed Yes | 63c | 47.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd061…d5e4backed No | 49c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ba…ad90backed No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Yes | 64c | 43.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa36…c6f9backed No | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 61c | 40.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d0…77cbbacked Yes | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ca…ca7cbacked No | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa248…04f3backed No | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say Thousand / Million / Billion 10+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?this page
- Will Trump say Bibi during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Biden 3+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Erdogan / Turkey during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Fake news during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
- Will Trump say Gaza 5+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Hell during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Hezbollah during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
- Will Trump say Israel 7+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Palestine during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
- Will Trump say Qatar during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Sick person during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
- Will Trump say TikTok during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
- Will Trump say UN / United Nations during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Young people during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.