TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x75d0…77cb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: WNBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 56 out of 100; worst Middle East at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$37.01
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$15.96
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.97
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$80.19
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.65
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$41.58
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.51
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$50.19
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$62.37
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.59
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$39.48
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$41.72
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$37.05
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.25
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$12.48
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$64.96
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.22
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$31.53
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.58
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$75.6
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.01
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT2560%15 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.47
Will Movistar KOI win the LEC 2026 Versus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.05
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25.38
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.97
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+98.9%+$17.4
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+117.4%+$16.2
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+54.5%+$19.4
LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$36.2
LoL: Natus Vincere vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+94.2%+$19.4
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$23.9
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.4
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$9
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$15.3
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+172.7%+$19
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.76
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.76
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+141.9%+$26.4
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+30.5%+$16.35
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs FlyQuest (BO1)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.2
LoL: KT Rolster vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.68
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Gen.G (BO1)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
LoL: Los Ratones vs Bushido Wildcats (BO1)backed Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will T1 win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will Gen.G win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+68.1%+$16.2
All 25 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$42
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.19
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+35.1%+$27.3
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.4
US government shutdown in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Trump say Thousand / Million / Billion 10+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will Trump say TikTok during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Trump say Biden 3+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+228.4%+$38.25
Will Trump say UN / United Nations during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will Trump say Erdogan / Turkey during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$33
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+56.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$83.6
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.62
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.5
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+158.6%+$18.4
Will Trump say "Crimea" or "Donetsk" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Will Trump say "Putin" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-65.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+62.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$98
Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$14.88
Chicago Sky vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$55.25
Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$83.7
All 4 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+12.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-55.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$34.16
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Aug 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chamath launch a SPAC in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+74.5%+$12.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$13.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.