TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$938,370
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$902,156

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $938,370 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 901 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x53ec…df91backed Yes58c63,175$36,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,305.5322750.2%114 W · 113 L+24.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed No39c58,929$22,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,972.2849244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked No41c52,269$21,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,228.8714842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes17c25,683$4,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,297.5340133.4%134 W · 267 L+27.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No42c24,115$10,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,165.352,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked No41c22,244$9,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,099.6295641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe021…10e8backed Yes14c16,194$2,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,942.66825%2 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf90…6a0abacked Yes7c14,696$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,668.17714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick22cpaid+104.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f9b…7829backed Yes63c14,505$9,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,420.539149.5%45 W · 46 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac25…433fbacked Yes70c14,000$9,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2088038.8%31 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89a4…ee1abacked Yes79c13,519$10,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,857.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes73c13,094$9,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,541.721,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82ba…0a52backed Yes22c12,886$2,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,077.12832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Yes75c10,420$7,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,602.948343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked Yes51c9,597$4,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,733.3220650%103 W · 103 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes72c9,575$6,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,641.5739449.2%194 W · 200 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No45c8,780$3,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,932.268853.4%47 W · 41 L+7.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc741…f761backed Yes73c8,479$6,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,310.712100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+144.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No40c8,359$3,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,331.2228842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9e…6838backed Yes55c7,883$4,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,523.241136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+88.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Yes60c7,256$4,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,886.685032%16 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda16…ac2bbacked Yes69c7,160$4,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,214.7811939.5%47 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Yes31c7,010$2,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,866.391,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc6a…7f5cbacked Yes58c6,973$4,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,919.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Yes35c6,633$2,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,328.921,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed Yes77c5,886$4,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,342.13520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-74.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f69…a545backed Yes60c5,861$3,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,363.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No35c5,520$1,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,928.883447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes38c5,454$2,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,371.841,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc810…512fbacked Yes31c5,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,440475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick30cpaid+151.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Yes44c4,652$2,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,612.8472241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes51c4,575$2,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,261.452060%12 W · 8 L+5.4wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+86.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No34c4,312$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,448.2822140.3%89 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed No31c4,136$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.3378.1%3 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f70…b3edbacked No62c4,081$2,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,512.82742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbab…cad4backed Yes63c3,975$2,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.751241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick27cpaid-2.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c15…944dbacked Yes41c3,762$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,237.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes46c3,644$1,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.9611723.9%28 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0fd…a91ebacked Yes52c3,238$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,538.069353.8%50 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes31c3,208$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,222.081,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe926…1c9bbacked Yes63c3,200$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.07450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c15…c9dbbacked Yes60c3,196$1,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.61633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-44.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked Yes45c3,127$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7274252.4%22 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+39%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes68c3,076$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.184032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid+8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa58f…51d6backed Yes52c2,863$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.8127248.5%132 W · 140 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35f9…e09dbacked Yes60c2,853$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.684434.1%15 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No36c2,766$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9964944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Yes16c2,722$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,291.8419047.4%90 W · 100 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00c8…b05ebacked Yes46c2,560$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.061526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick19cpaid+131.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ea…ae12backed Yes41c2,524$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.051040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24d5…9e7cbacked Yes44c2,493$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.163834.2%13 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8d…95b0backed Yes72c2,477$1,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.924245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x853e…0d8cbacked Yes59c2,354$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.8212042.5%51 W · 69 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c5b…a790backed Yes76c2,320$1,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes48c2,264$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.7766250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Yes34c2,229$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.6642845.1%193 W · 235 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54eb…f90fbacked Yes69c2,200$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.13616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.41per pick58cpaid-75.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb94…243cbacked Yes46c2,184$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.644440.9%18 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Yes59c2,002$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.756352.4%33 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0f5…d9d1backed Yes50c1,999$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.11560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+65.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Yes48c1,953$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.1991050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90c8…9617backed Yes65c1,918$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.333030%9 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x834f…8b6ebacked Yes58c1,902$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.13633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Yes35c1,834$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.9722948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ac…afc4backed Yes31c1,804$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.46425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Yes47c1,789$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.034447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Yes44c1,779$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.46352.4%33 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes63c1,761$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.7213642.6%58 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes58c1,686$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.0384443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8a8…60efbacked Yes50c1,660$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.11425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-49.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Yes64c1,619$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.3638740.3%156 W · 231 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No31c1,556$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.69238.7%2 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacd4…d343backed Yes69c1,531$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-51.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd815…3225backed Yes51c1,528$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.03425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-50.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa952…5ca1backed Yes69c1,500$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes75c1,435$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.5712930.2%39 W · 90 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe825…1eb4backed Yes36c1,385$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.268250%41 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83e8…7b89backed No31c1,375$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.823141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c14…7bc1backed Yes44c1,358$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.9111142.3%47 W · 64 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb772…7b07backed Yes41c1,344$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.3450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+36.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes35c1,338$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.113920.5%8 W · 31 L-9.1wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-64.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xcccc…05b2backed Yes76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes77c1,314$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.66764.2%43 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0141…c2dabacked Yes78c1,300$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2861435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…525fbacked Yes77c1,300$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.891788.2%15 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick77cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes62c1,298$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.632339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd168…8ce9backed Yes39c1,282$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.0517055.9%95 W · 75 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked Yes34c1,281$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.8512437.9%47 W · 77 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db1…35a9backed Yes43c1,270$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.1540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick23cpaid-13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b2…089abacked Yes45c1,249$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.889340.9%38 W · 55 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No24c1,239$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.1115010%15 W · 135 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3818…c72dbacked Yes62c1,225$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.21172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8604…fd3abacked Yes77c1,192$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.022147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfffe…8016backed No32c1,181$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeec5…b6febacked Yes52c1,169$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.818856.8%50 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3985…0140backed Yes40c1,124$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8df7…36c4backed Yes70c1,111$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.19560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5358…5243backed Yes38c1,100$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6775628.6%16 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-38.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a98…1b92backed No34c1,056$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.91338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+56.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2ce…415fbacked Yes51c1,037$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.98616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-67.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.