NBA · resolved market
Will Derik Queen win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ae773d76d652f80ed69c1478ca2349249ea0d2182bca1d6ed66deb23c36c3b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $886,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $886,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc3c…dd7fbacked Yes | 0c | 98,047$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…e903backed Yes | 0c | 97,801$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9588…f21fbacked Yes | 0c | 69,294$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9a99backed Yes | 0c | 68,491$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf3…a634backed Yes | 0c | 39,110$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79a5…3531backed Yes | 0c | 25,020$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…d4a6backed Yes | 0c | 25,010$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c3…245dbacked Yes | 0c | 24,440$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa96…60e4backed Yes | 0c | 24,040$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23a7…aa64backed Yes | 0c | 23,880$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8a…d59dbacked Yes | 0c | 23,450$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdd…ca37backed Yes | 0c | 23,230$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…a4adbacked Yes | 0c | 22,340$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef0…969ebacked Yes | 0c | 22,220$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cf…884cbacked Yes | 0c | 20,580$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…905ebacked Yes | 0c | 20,120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66cb…c4ecbacked Yes | 0c | 19,800$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb9…4d1ebacked Yes | 0c | 19,440$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6db…0f51backed Yes | 0c | 19,120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b5…24ecbacked Yes | 0c | 19,100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cf…e5edbacked Yes | 0c | 18,700$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a4…bb6bbacked Yes | 0c | 18,500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…f009backed Yes | 0c | 18,500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4e…0e29backed Yes | 0c | 18,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ec…8cd3backed Yes | 0c | 18,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,586$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 2c | 3,496$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.46 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…276bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,492$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…dd6abacked Yes | 6c | 2,473$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.91 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +174.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,757$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd496…9c86backed Yes | 6c | 1,382$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,380$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c8…e944backed Yes | 2c | 1,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…7af1backed Yes | 5c | 1,072$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd894…d0b2backed Yes | 3c | 1,058$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 3c | 1,006$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Yes | 6c | 869.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 4c | 810.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 3c | 784$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 3c | 608.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…c60fbacked Yes | 5c | 535.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…b428backed Yes | 8c | 419.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ea…22edbacked Yes | 4c | 297$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…a1a1backed Yes | 8c | 123.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Derik Queen win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?this page
- Will Ace Bailey win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
- Will Cedric Coward win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
- Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?Yes won
- Will Dylan Harper win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
- Will Jase Richardson win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
- Will Jeremiah Fears win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
- Will Khaman Maluach win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
- Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
- Will Tre Johnson win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
- Will V.J. Edgecombe win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
- Will Walter Clayton Jr. win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.