TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe01f…276b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NFL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST3545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Rams vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Giants vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+154.3%+$308.66
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+383.1%+$383.09
Ravens vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Patriots vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Saints vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$36.35
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$140.83
Seahawks vs. Commandersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Titans vs. Coltsbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Buccaneers vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.25
Jets vs. Bengalsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$185.71
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Dolphins vs. Browns: O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$13.44
Dolphins vs. Browns: O/U 39.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$16.8
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$38.46
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+208.3%+$247.78
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$60.71
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT3528.6%10 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-39.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Derik Queen win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Jazz vs. Pacersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$178.72
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$700
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+42.9%+$85.71
Pacers vs. Jazzbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Bucks vs. Mavericksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+75.4%+$150.88
Pacers vs. Warriorsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Suns vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Pacers vs. Nuggetsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+122.2%+$122.22
Trail Blazers vs. Heatbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Thunder vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Hornets vs. Heatbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Hornets vs. Pelicansbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$101.26
76ers vs. Bullsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+179.4%+$308.59
Heat vs. Lakersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Jazz vs. Hornetsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Grizzlies vs. Raptorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick39cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.99
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$188.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+49.3%+$49.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Louisville vs. Miamibacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.