NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93602d67b8dd1a7f2f7803f773a5f10e87f40c63d496e5b5663c770f93457387
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Bucks, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,195,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,264,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,195,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Bucks | 57c | 91,288$52,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,283.89 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bucks | 58c | 70,285$40,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,402.73 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Bucks | 36c | 60,000$21,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,199.99 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Bucks | 58c | 47,781$27,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,912.81 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Mavericks | 42c | 45,648$19,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,128.6 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Mavericks | 44c | 45,449$19,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,775.17 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Mavericks | 44c | 42,839$18,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,910.33 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Mavericks | 42c | 40,371$17,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,125.92 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Mavericks | 32c | 30,000$9,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,699.99 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Bucks | 60c | 25,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4991…5ecdbacked Mavericks | 40c | 25,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.99 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Mavericks | 42c | 25,000$10,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,524.93 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks | 54c | 22,307$12,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,111.51 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Mavericks | 44c | 22,000$9,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,779.79 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Mavericks | 41c | 21,395$8,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,793.96 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Mavericks | 44c | 20,194$8,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,905.35 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Mavericks | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,200 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…7e43backed Bucks | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Bucks | 56c | 17,827$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,826.74 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Bucks | 60c | 16,671$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,671.3 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Mavericks | 67c | 14,232$9,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,507.02 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…bd81backed Bucks | 38c | 11,545$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,145.25 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 57c | 10,521$6,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,475.97 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Bucks | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Bucks | 51c | 9,500$4,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,629.71 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Bucks | 45c | 8,840$4,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,829.41 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Mavericks | 41c | 7,800$3,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,235.89 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cc…3a9abacked Mavericks | 46c | 7,338$3,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,375.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x378a…8dfbbacked Bucks | 54c | 7,331$3,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,372.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Bucks | 35c | 7,277$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,761.39 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Mavericks | 42c | 7,200$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.96 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Mavericks | 46c | 7,146$3,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,276.37 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Mavericks | 39c | 7,051$2,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,769.24 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…b0c0backed Mavericks | 44c | 6,598$2,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,903.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…72a0backed Bucks | 56c | 6,593$3,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Bucks | 60c | 6,435$3,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,553.88 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bucks | 47c | 6,308$2,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,364.2 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Mavericks | 40c | 6,150$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b6…630cbacked Mavericks | 45c | 6,143$2,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,764.37 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Mavericks | 44c | 6,063$2,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,651.46 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Bucks | 53c | 6,029$3,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,857.05 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Mavericks | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.92 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Mavericks | 46c | 5,894$2,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,723.89 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mavericks | 46c | 5,593$2,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.22 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Bucks | 50c | 5,193$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.59 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Mavericks | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Mavericks | 44c | 4,653$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,047.18 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…1565backed Bucks | 54c | 4,620$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Mavericks | 40c | 4,502$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.67 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Mavericks | 45c | 4,383$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.84 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Mavericks | 42c | 4,348$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.4 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 51c | 4,299$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.76 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a33…28e8backed Bucks | 34c | 4,232$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,793.35 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Bucks | 36c | 4,171$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,670.13 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Mavericks | 53c | 4,170$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.85 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Bucks | 36c | 4,167$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.94 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64fa…2f1fbacked Bucks | 60c | 4,156$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mavericks | 41c | 4,136$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Bucks | 34c | 4,040$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,648.89 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…353fbacked Mavericks | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Mavericks | 43c | 3,959$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.94 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Mavericks | 57c | 3,946$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.71 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ea…6254backed Bucks | 50c | 3,900$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mavericks | 45c | 3,685$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.1 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Bucks | 57c | 3,471$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.55 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mavericks | 64c | 3,158$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.12 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…f41fbacked Mavericks | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Mavericks | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Mavericks | 40c | 2,881$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.81 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -8.5wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -62%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Bucks | 58c | 2,830$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.43 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Mavericks | 36c | 2,821$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.39 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Mavericks | 40c | 2,721$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.85 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Bucks | 64c | 2,702$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.25 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Mavericks | 42c | 2,700$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…b502backed Mavericks | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Bucks | 56c | 2,571$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.43 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…bfadbacked Mavericks | 31c | 2,534$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.16 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…1bd9backed Mavericks | 79c | 2,516$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 66cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Mavericks | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Bucks | 46c | 2,333$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.33 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…5bc1backed Mavericks | 40c | 2,300$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +150.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…83eabacked Bucks | 55c | 2,280$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…189fbacked Mavericks | 45c | 2,280$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71ea…1ca2backed Mavericks | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Mavericks | 45c | 2,250$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.44 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Bucks | 60c | 2,198$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.61 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Bucks | 55c | 2,060$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Mavericks | 44c | 2,025$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.37 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed Mavericks | 45c | 2,022$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Mavericks | 43c | 2,013$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.48 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Bucks | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Mavericks | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b3…5adbbacked Mavericks | 56c | 1,997$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed Bucks | 60c | 1,910$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.09 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…f2ecbacked Bucks | 50c | 1,807$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.49 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Mavericks | 73c | 1,781$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 95 | 73.7%70 W · 25 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb3…26aebacked Bucks | 28c | 1,715$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.9 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Mavericks | 41c | 1,707$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks | 59c | 1,706$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.77 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Mavericks | 45c | 1,700$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Mavericksthis page
- Bucks vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Bucks vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Mavericks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Bucks (-1.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-2.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Bucks (-4.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.