TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6cdf…5bc1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
261
Categories scored
37
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Middle East, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 59 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4259.5%25 W · 17 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.98
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+356.2%+$93.29
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+235.6%+$56.56
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$107.23
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.78
Will Iran strike Syria in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$14.73
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+62%+$22.54
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+164.4%+$47.4
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.75
Will Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+152.7%+$56.12
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$103.24
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$17.17
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+91.9%+$188.57
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+136.7%+$271.14
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.33
Will France strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.58
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$44.7
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$170.74
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.51
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.84
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$120.16
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$105.95
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$64.45
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+30%+$13.25
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+337%+$33.8
Will "Hoppers" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 26m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.95
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$17.01
Will "Scream 7" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 7.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$20.87
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$18.34
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.45
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.91
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.13
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$738Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+104.9%+$773.6
Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$42.62
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+99.7%+$76.94
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 42m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.57
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 42m and 46m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+190.7%+$34.52
Will "Jurassic World Rebirth" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will "Jurassic World Rebirth" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.89
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.49
Will "The Dinosaurs" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.15
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.93
All 22 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT2025%5 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-49.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.59
Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2.89
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.6
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.9
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.98
Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+131.1%+$122.7
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.54
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+169.8%+$113
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.49
Will gas hit (Low) $3.10 by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.17
Will Iran strike Safaniya Field by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.55
Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$26.35
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.35
Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$34.63
Will gas hit (High) $3.75 by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.67
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.17
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.16
All 20 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+56.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$26.89
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.64
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.21
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$31.08
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.55
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.89
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+185.9%+$69.59
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$68.05
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$61.27
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+142.4%+$25.68
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will Claude be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.12
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+40.6%+$66.76
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+43.3%+$6.64
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+25%+$6
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.63
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$18.23
BNP Paribas Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25.91
BNP Paribas Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$27.83
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Joanna Garland vs Taylor Townsendbacked Joanna Garland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.49
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+203%+$39.53
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,800
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$603Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+257.1%+$1,550.88
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+26.6%+$132.39
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Belinda Bencic vs Cristina Bucsabacked Bucsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$78
Jiangxi Open: Lilli Tagger vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Rolex Paris Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Cameron Norriebacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$228
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Valentin Royerbacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$104
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Talia Gibson vs Victoria Mbokobacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+43.5%+$91
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexandre Muller vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$66
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick3cpaid-79.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Brown be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+203%+$67.67
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$330
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$640
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$210
Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$180
Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$180
Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$180
Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$180
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$210
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.6
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+530.1%+$147.91
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.81
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+935.3%+$774.08
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.08
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.63
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.75
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.49
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$60.89
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$37.29
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$23.01
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$16.8
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,116Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$334
All 15 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick32cpaid-72.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$25.59
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.21
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.15
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.92
Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.57
Will Fidesz-KDNP win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.01
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.97
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+108.3%+$31.2
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 13 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$12.17
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$40.98
Will Google reach $320 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.94
Will NVIDIA dip to $164 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.58
Will Tesla reach $420 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.2
Will Tesla dip to $353 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Will Google dip to $275 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Will Tesla dip to $375 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$15
Will VIX close above 50 by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$58.96
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+58.7%+$10.85
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $450–475 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$14
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-68.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+46%+$11.9
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Mauricio Pochettino be appointed as manager of Tottenham?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$7.99
Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18.09
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46.92
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22.32
Will Wolves win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$75
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-42.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$709Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$709.49
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.16
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$25.01
Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+111.4%+$62.82
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$140
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$465
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+40.8%+$290
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$572Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$572
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-60.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$19.42
Will Trevor Merrell advance from the CA-04 primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will Janelle Stelson be the Democratic Nominee for PA-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.94
Will Matt Pinnell replace Markwayne Mullin as United States Senator from Oklahoma?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.87
Will Stephanie Bice replace Markwayne Mullin as United States Senator from Oklahoma?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.53
Will Donald Trump endorse Ken Paxton for the Texas Republican Senate primary by March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+46.2%+$4.72
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$435.44
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick53cpaid-79.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+150.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$539.82
Jazz vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$979Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+40.8%+$399.4
Bucks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$920
Kings vs. Nuggetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$108
Jazz vs. Celticsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+1,011.1%+$910
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-48.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-41.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $100 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$26.09
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$37.89
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+125.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+125.8%+$115.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-02-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-02-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 100 Thieves qualify to a S-tier tournament by June 1 ? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.