Serie A · resolved market
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-11-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbcf94ff75ff82d3a06dac1074a09c3ddb8d27cf27b7ddf1d65ec8ac2ef6e9fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 2c | 10,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 27c | 4,517$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.68 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 3,155$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.52 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 74c | 1,889$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.33 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…686cbacked Yes | 28c | 1,254$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 73c | 1,232$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.82 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed No | 75c | 1,146$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 74c | 981.79$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.45 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 28c | 975.39$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.28 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 71c | 875$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.75 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 27c | 863$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.01 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 27c | 776$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.04 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 27c | 773$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.71 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7e…1d5abacked Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 28c | 702.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Yes | 20c | 511.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 27c | 491$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.57 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a62…57cabacked Yes | 21c | 388.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…85dabacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…594ebacked Yes | 27c | 364.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Yes | 27c | 296.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 7c | 278.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…a488backed No | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 73c | 221.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 26c | 199.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…bb37backed Yes | 27c | 182.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Yes | 27c | 180$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc12b…8f76backed Yes | 28c | 179.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 74c | 121.31$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 28c | 107.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…5bc1backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 73c | 95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 27c | 84.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 26c | 65.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd611…63fcbacked No | 74c | 57.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…8384backed Yes | 28c | 57.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…f4ebbacked Yes | 27c | 51.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…f8b6backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 72c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 27c | 38.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked No | 76c | 31.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 75c | 26.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc286…d936backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca8…1148backed No | 74c | 22.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 73c | 18.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Cremonese win on 2025-11-07?this page
- Will Pisa SC vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?No won
- Will Pisa SC win on 2025-11-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.