Serie A · resolved market
Will Pisa SC vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ee020d105575ba2513f03fe709aa8eb09d3543129a4f9d35ebaabd98cc166ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.58 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 68c | 2,621$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.12 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 68c | 2,366$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.22 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 32c | 2,333$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.56 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 17c | 1,151$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 985.14$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.41 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 32c | 775.79$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 69c | 694$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.14 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 684.1$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.38 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 5c | 600$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 51c | 592.59$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a62…57cabacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 54c | 397$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.63 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…cbd8backed Yes | 32c | 331.18$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.98 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 32c | 255$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 32c | 215$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 43c | 214.05$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.58 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes | 17c | 194.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 15c | 177.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -7.6wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5595…12a8backed Yes | 32c | 171.88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…ba78backed No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…507cbacked Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 56c | 115.91$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…d42fbacked Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked No | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 25c | 108.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 31c | 104.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 42c | 99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa776…a17bbacked Yes | 31c | 85.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 44c | 70.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca8…1148backed Yes | 32c | 53.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…1790backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 116 | 66.4%77 W · 39 L | +14.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Yes | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…2086backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1468…64e1backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb745…981bbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f45…2149backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 68c | 25.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 67c | 21.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 68c | 20.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pisa SC vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?this page
- Will Pisa SC win on 2025-11-07?Yes won
- Will US Cremonese win on 2025-11-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.