Middle East · resolved market
Will Iran strike Syria in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5d8a0bbfc7f5921aa9c8a5f99183f534bd43dde6c84e9e0fa4e55ed909e2f73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $370,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $355,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $370,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x91dd…6780backed Yes | 8c | 6,561$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.06 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…1086backed Yes | 7c | 3,345$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 148 | 8.1%12 W · 136 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +238.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…d9b7backed Yes | 4c | 3,341$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc2…3e11backed Yes | 4c | 3,326$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…b3f6backed Yes | 9c | 3,206$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.67 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 14c | 3,112$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.79 | 77 | 9.1%7 W · 70 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9da…1365backed Yes | 4c | 2,547$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…e5f7backed Yes | 4c | 2,295$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff8…ff7ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,262$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ca…238cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,174$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe6…a04fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,147$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…f772backed Yes | 3c | 2,054$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8a…12e0backed Yes | 4c | 2,053$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa98c…f628backed Yes | 3c | 1,970$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…4220backed Yes | 4c | 1,958$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd69b…4fcfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,922$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fd…79a1backed Yes | 3c | 1,822$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87db…c671backed Yes | 4c | 1,806$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…f064backed Yes | 3c | 1,796$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…ec7abacked Yes | 4c | 1,787$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…b59cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,751$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa537…c26abacked Yes | 4c | 1,725$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47fd…9611backed Yes | 3c | 1,710$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb64b…a88cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,706$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60bc…2900backed Yes | 3c | 1,705$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x570d…7acbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,671$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabcd…db7ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,652$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b8…51f2backed Yes | 4c | 1,610$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b97…4292backed Yes | 3c | 1,606$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 7c | 1,546$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.11 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a6…56b7backed Yes | 3c | 1,541$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a0…c022backed Yes | 4c | 1,508$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf820…eaa3backed Yes | 5c | 1,497$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1584…686abacked Yes | 3c | 1,481$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f1…d931backed Yes | 4c | 1,464$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…b02dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,451$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b3…fb78backed Yes | 4c | 1,449$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 78c | 1,444$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.6 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -23.0wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…2d8fbacked No | 69c | 1,441$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.92 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…8f41backed Yes | 5c | 1,424$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…1b0ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,418$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…15c6backed Yes | 4c | 1,372$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x523d…cc1dbacked Yes | 31c | 1,338$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.78 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,330$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.96 | 119 | 9.2%11 W · 108 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9dd…8e7cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,280$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…6fb9backed Yes | 4c | 1,274$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07da…0633backed Yes | 4c | 1,267$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 51c | 1,240$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.63 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a7…6a84backed Yes | 5c | 1,213$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…468cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,201$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.2 | 142 | 27.5%39 W · 103 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…02c1backed Yes | 3c | 1,163$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd6…7089backed Yes | 5c | 1,120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x157d…62cfbacked Yes | 5c | 1,110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…1af1backed Yes | 5c | 1,095$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f08…e57dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,075$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…a303backed Yes | 11c | 1,066$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 102 | 27.5%28 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…59dbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,063$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…e829backed Yes | 3c | 1,051$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b1…a596backed Yes | 3c | 1,045$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b5…e825backed Yes | 3c | 1,018$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc2…1e51backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.17 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…ee62backed Yes | 3c | 997$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d3…53dcbacked Yes | 13c | 992$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.96 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 34c | 989.02$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.9 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…e367backed Yes | 3c | 984$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb211…2e2ebacked Yes | 5c | 964$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d4…0f99backed Yes | 3c | 955$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabdb…73dabacked Yes | 18c | 947.92$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.14 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +99%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 35c | 942.97$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.48 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x96aa…0547backed Yes | 5c | 941$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e9…8d47backed Yes | 3c | 940$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21cd…802fbacked Yes | 3c | 939$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9b…2e38backed Yes | 3c | 938$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133f…738ebacked Yes | 3c | 926$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb374…13b4backed Yes | 4c | 914$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…005dbacked Yes | 55c | 911.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…08eabacked Yes | 3c | 908$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c4…daf1backed Yes | 3c | 892$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…f8c0backed Yes | 4c | 872$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…992abacked Yes | 5c | 867$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 26c | 862.63$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.49 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…c0f1backed Yes | 5c | 857$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7b…78b0backed Yes | 3c | 849$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecea…7ac0backed Yes | 3c | 842$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae6…6fefbacked Yes | 3c | 835$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…d688backed Yes | 3c | 810$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…e3cbbacked Yes | 3c | 810$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba18…c855backed Yes | 3c | 810$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e2…7786backed Yes | 3c | 802$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0148…3f66backed Yes | 3c | 795$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…37b3backed Yes | 3c | 793$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb587…1f07backed Yes | 3c | 787$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…31d4backed Yes | 18c | 786.07$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.4 | 102 | 26.5%27 W · 75 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f90…9e7bbacked Yes | 3c | 781$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed No | 64c | 781$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.16 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b4…4d69backed Yes | 36c | 768.68$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.82 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39ff…0463backed Yes | 3c | 766$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…4bafbacked Yes | 3c | 760$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5985…a7e6backed Yes | 3c | 752$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2b…98b6backed Yes | 3c | 750$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iran strike Syria in March?this page
- Will Iran strike Afghanistan in March?No won
- Will Iran strike Armenia by March 31?No won
- Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by March 31?No won
- Will Iran strike Bahrain again in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Bahrain in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?No won
- Will Iran strike Germany by March 31?No won
- Will Iran strike Hungary by March 31?No won
- Will Iran strike India in March?No won
- Will Iran strike Iraq again in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Iraq in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Israel again in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Israel in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Italy by March 31?No won
- Will Iran strike Jordan again in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Jordan in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Jordan in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Kuwait again in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Kuwait in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Oman again in March?No won
- Will Iran strike Oman in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Pakistan in March?No won
- Will Iran strike Poland by March 31?No won
- Will Iran strike Qatar again in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Qatar in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia again in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Turkey in March?No won
- Will Iran strike UAE again in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike UAE in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Ukraine by March 31?No won
- Will Iran strike Yemen in March?No won
- Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by March 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.