Middle East · resolved market
Will Iran strike Oman in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b57a2620066056598f7abe54fa96d3fc819d91540bdb7a4e5419e9ed1764949
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ea…b02abacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda9e…ac09backed Yes | 63c | 7,259$4,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,657.45 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 72c | 6,289$4,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.9 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 34c | 3,451$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.84 | 152 | 34.2%52 W · 100 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 60c | 3,333$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.87 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 23c | 3,041$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.84 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 43c | 2,500$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.34 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 13c | 2,200$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.99 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 62c | 1,871$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.82 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 1,770$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…3527backed Yes | 69c | 1,707$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +194.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…f795backed Yes | 73c | 1,509$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.66 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 5c | 1,503$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4367…e904backed No | 34c | 1,468$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38e…272bbacked No | 6c | 1,378$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed No | 45c | 1,200$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.4 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 16c | 1,187$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.05 | 77 | 9.1%7 W · 70 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 30c | 1,036$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.34 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f94…8ffebacked Yes | 75c | 1,000$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 37c | 999.99$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.8 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 16c | 999.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 156 | 25%39 W · 117 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked No | 11c | 907.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 10cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeba…7388backed No | 40c | 882.01$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…9a20backed No | 7c | 873.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 51c | 831.11$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.77 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 25c | 797.74$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.72 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb73e…7204backed Yes | 67c | 747.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…6057backed Yes | 79c | 665.01$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.98 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 10c | 625.67$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 113 | 20.4%23 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 22c | 573.95$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.39 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 43c | 538.93$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.54 | 306 | 35.9%110 W · 196 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 64c | 489.89$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 30c | 477.61$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.03 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 22c | 413.62$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.47 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 53c | 408.57$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.39 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…e5fabacked No | 34c | 400$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e2…f8bbbacked Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.6 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes | 58c | 395.27$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.27 | 284 | 38.7%110 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Yes | 76c | 392.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked No | 14c | 360$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdae6…e440backed Yes | 61c | 355.02$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 70c | 330.9$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.83 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 28c | 318.59$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.96 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…acfcbacked No | 36c | 310.64$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.54 | 290 | 27.9%81 W · 209 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed Yes | 69c | 310.64$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.37 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked No | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 49c | 300$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.1 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5b…799cbacked No | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +513.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed No | 32c | 300$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.65 | 200 | 35.5%71 W · 129 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…c50ebacked Yes | 50c | 299.6$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…cf9abacked No | 6c | 299.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a3…7feabacked Yes | 38c | 261.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.25 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…af18backed Yes | 70c | 260.39$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.49 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 40c | 256.25$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 73c | 250.17$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.68 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 21c | 250.08$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 258 | 43.4%112 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55bf…b569backed Yes | 58c | 249.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd05d…58a7backed Yes | 65c | 239.71$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +201.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed Yes | 65c | 237.49$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.44 | 202 | 35.6%72 W · 130 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 42c | 236.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 15c | 234.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…2e44backed No | 33c | 231.87$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 34c | 209.54$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 317 | 28.7%91 W · 226 L | -35.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbef7…0b4dbacked No | 25c | 201.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b8…9c0ebacked Yes | 61c | 200$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…b38bbacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…9cd4backed No | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +7.7wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf5…e4b3backed Yes | 55c | 181.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.31 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed No | 60c | 181.25$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.75 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc245…bccbbacked No | 33c | 170$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…a88dbacked No | 18c | 168.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Yes | 60c | 165.14$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca41…3af9backed No | 18c | 159.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 66c | 155.97$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.66 | 261 | 38.7%101 W · 160 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c95…d680backed Yes | 68c | 153.51$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…8506backed Yes | 68c | 147.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked No | 26c | 135.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 242 | 24.4%59 W · 183 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c3…68d9backed Yes | 37c | 134.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.06 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…8688backed No | 14c | 132.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed No | 20c | 130.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | +15.2wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +72%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…3f07backed Yes | 78c | 130$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed No | 19c | 128$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e3…5fd0backed Yes | 52c | 125.4$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x025b…272fbacked Yes | 61c | 116.57$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…7552backed No | 30c | 115.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…52abbacked No | 22c | 113.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed No | 26c | 113.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 55c | 112.79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.79 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 73c | 111.81$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked No | 20c | 105.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b5…11a3backed Yes | 60c | 101.81$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 35c | 101.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.43 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…bd43backed No | 45c | 100.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc3…a7b3backed No | 20c | 100.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…bfcbbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +16.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ceb…db9dbacked No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4515…5c36backed Yes | 41c | 98.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4f…1834backed Yes | 52c | 95.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iran strike Oman in March?this page
- Will Iran strike Afghanistan in March?No won
- Will Iran strike Armenia by March 31?No won
- Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by March 31?No won
- Will Iran strike Bahrain again in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Bahrain in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?No won
- Will Iran strike Germany by March 31?No won
- Will Iran strike Hungary by March 31?No won
- Will Iran strike India in March?No won
- Will Iran strike Iraq again in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Iraq in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Israel again in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Israel in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Italy by March 31?No won
- Will Iran strike Jordan again in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Jordan in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Jordan in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Kuwait again in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Kuwait in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Oman again in March?No won
- Will Iran strike Pakistan in March?No won
- Will Iran strike Poland by March 31?No won
- Will Iran strike Qatar again in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Qatar in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia again in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Syria in March?No won
- Will Iran strike Turkey in March?No won
- Will Iran strike UAE again in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike UAE in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Ukraine by March 31?No won
- Will Iran strike Yemen in March?No won
- Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by March 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.