Middle East · resolved market
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cb096be1ef4c94e4286b318eb660c61983faa47e88017d241d3967d1bd59ce5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,156,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,560,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,156,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 366 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff34…bf20backed No | 0c | 267,230$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f0…d883backed No | 0c | 224,990$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe685…56abbacked No | 0c | 129,190$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.19 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…efe7backed No | 0c | 128,500$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70be…044dbacked No | 0c | 118,770$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…48e4backed No | 0c | 101,052$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…6320backed No | 0c | 67,682$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.68 | 104 | 17.3%18 W · 86 L | -13.7wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb6…89afbacked No | 0c | 54,930$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc22…a868backed No | 0c | 34,600$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2a…03a2backed No | 0c | 31,203$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a0…06fabacked No | 0c | 23,375$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9baa…e295backed No | 0c | 23,353$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…819cbacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…1e93backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…1247backed No | 0c | 18,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7446…8368backed No | 2c | 17,985$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.22 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 7c | 16,671$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.71 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6e…f132backed No | 1c | 16,561$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…7640backed No | 2c | 16,530$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.29 | 206 | 17%35 W · 171 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69d5…7767backed No | 0c | 16,361$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b0…5aaabacked No | 0c | 15,040$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…8a76backed No | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…3917backed No | 1c | 14,093$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.48 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb929…e94fbacked No | 0c | 14,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +160.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…3e7abacked No | 0c | 13,500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb8…ff21backed No | 0c | 13,340$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d3…0e0fbacked Yes | 80c | 12,579$10,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540.82 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed No | 3c | 12,055$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.61 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8b…64cebacked No | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91dd…6780backed No | 28c | 11,271$3,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,144.7 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe819…5456backed No | 0c | 11,025$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bf…a509backed No | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed18…0b97backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…c229backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…7ba9backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496d…345ebacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6816…31aabacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7429…6d9fbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…eb5dbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…8da1backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…ad4bbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…a63bbacked No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…c577backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…3880backed No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 21.8%29 W · 104 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…faeebacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa754…d8cfbacked No | 0c | 9,177$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fd…b2f0backed No | 2c | 8,293$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 22cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 12c | 8,105$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.76 | 77 | 9.1%7 W · 70 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…ef05backed No | 0c | 7,788$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed No | 18c | 7,538$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.06 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aad…5067backed No | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b60…cbffbacked No | 0c | 6,990$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed No | 4c | 6,918$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.01 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b49…178dbacked No | 1c | 5,882$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -72%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked No | 16c | 5,700$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.2 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c9…7afcbacked No | 12c | 5,249$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191d…78ffbacked Yes | 57c | 4,950$2,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x746f…566dbacked No | 5c | 4,920$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.29 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 32cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a77…6b9fbacked No | 0c | 4,624$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…33ecbacked No | 3c | 4,584$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.02 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…59a8backed No | 1c | 4,354$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3b…8f50backed No | 0c | 4,333$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 8c | 4,202$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.04 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4f…2b3fbacked Yes | 67c | 3,700$2,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…2b5cbacked No | 4c | 3,486$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.32 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…04cabacked No | 4c | 3,448$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…f3bbbacked Yes | 58c | 3,385$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.65 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…ba4fbacked No | 2c | 3,358$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…23a8backed Yes | 59c | 3,343$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.8 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…cb13backed Yes | 68c | 2,750$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…822abacked No | 33c | 2,738$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.25 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c4…4c8bbacked Yes | 62c | 2,612$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.57 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035f…33ebbacked No | 9c | 2,434$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.9 | 110 | 16.4%18 W · 92 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…65abbacked Yes | 76c | 2,334$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.99 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2601…4eecbacked No | 5c | 2,307$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe49…6828backed No | 3c | 2,265$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed No | 27c | 2,251$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.27 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked No | 22c | 2,074$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.07 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe155…45afbacked No | 6c | 2,069$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 11c | 2,053$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.55 | 120 | 23.3%28 W · 92 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…bd99backed Yes | 70c | 2,017$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 8c | 2,000$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bd…f03ebacked No | 28c | 2,000$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.58 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7639…cbddbacked Yes | 66c | 1,854$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.09 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 2c | 1,800$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked No | 68c | 1,627$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.39 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa9…9072backed Yes | 71c | 1,595$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.72 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +40%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…98f9backed No | 1c | 1,557$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 76c | 1,452$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.3 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 45c | 1,372$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.24 | 160 | 41.9%67 W · 93 L | +12.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd981…2dbdbacked No | 2c | 1,334$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda83…d8e5backed No | 7c | 1,329$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…5203backed No | 14c | 1,325$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.62 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 77c | 1,297$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.15 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5218…3df7backed No | 8c | 1,232$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -62%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a91…9689backed No | 17c | 1,218$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed No | 11c | 1,200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.2 | 101 | 32.7%33 W · 68 L | +10.6wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 10c | 1,163$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.83 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked No | 53c | 1,093$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…57e8backed No | 49c | 1,072$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iran strike UAE again in March?this page
- Will Iran strike Afghanistan in March?No won
- Will Iran strike Armenia by March 31?No won
- Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by March 31?No won
- Will Iran strike Bahrain again in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Bahrain in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?No won
- Will Iran strike Germany by March 31?No won
- Will Iran strike Hungary by March 31?No won
- Will Iran strike India in March?No won
- Will Iran strike Iraq again in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Iraq in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Israel again in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Israel in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Italy by March 31?No won
- Will Iran strike Jordan again in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Jordan in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Jordan in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Kuwait again in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Kuwait in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Oman again in March?No won
- Will Iran strike Oman in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Pakistan in March?No won
- Will Iran strike Poland by March 31?No won
- Will Iran strike Qatar again in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Qatar in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia again in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Syria in March?No won
- Will Iran strike Turkey in March?No won
- Will Iran strike UAE in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Ukraine by March 31?No won
- Will Iran strike Yemen in March?No won
- Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by March 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.