TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7a91…9689

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Middle East, grading 49 out of 100 (-0.01 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Middle East at 49 out of 100; worst Cricket at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT4323.3%10 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$63.14
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.59
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.28
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.68
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+203%+$66.98
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kingsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$505
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$323.83
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.02
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,880Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$1,119.99
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$699.57
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.99
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.1
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.46
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$412.5
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$696.47
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,005.29
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$695Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$694.88
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals - Who wins the toss?backed Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.99
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+230.4%+$1,600.48
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$491.62
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+400%+$701.85
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-75.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$855Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$854.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.