Cricket · resolved market
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals - Who wins the toss?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x565c371db345c344eb0598e5c964f94f3086c97238e3836d4e1e2344d70abbf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rajasthan Royalsof Rajasthan Royals, Delhi Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e6…671abacked Rajasthan Royals | 50c | 709.37$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.28 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Rajasthan Royals | 51c | 682$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.12 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7440…aca9backed Delhi Capitals | 51c | 548.05$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Rajasthan Royals | 49c | 411.36$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.79 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Delhi Capitals | 49c | 397.83$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.71 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed Rajasthan Royals | 48c | 299.95$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.97 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…d3babacked Delhi Capitals | 52c | 286.43$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.34 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Delhi Capitals | 48c | 243.11$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.05 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f3…06c1backed Delhi Capitals | 52c | 201.92$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…e3b7backed Delhi Capitals | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…1959backed Rajasthan Royals | 51c | 194.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.34 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b66…02edbacked Rajasthan Royals | 49c | 149.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f18…9e52backed Delhi Capitals | 51c | 103.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83a1…491dbacked Delhi Capitals | 51c | 92.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…1eecbacked Rajasthan Royals | 50c | 75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2e…55e8backed Delhi Capitals | 52c | 66.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2433…99aebacked Delhi Capitals | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 145 | 27.6%40 W · 105 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea8…47aabacked Delhi Capitals | 45c | 51.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a94…a47abacked Delhi Capitals | 51c | 51.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde37…1911backed Delhi Capitals | 52c | 42.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Delhi Capitals | 49c | 40.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecdd…abbbbacked Rajasthan Royals | 50c | 40.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f75…3018backed Delhi Capitals | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…f9d3backed Delhi Capitals | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a91…9689backed Delhi Capitals | 52c | 36.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8eb…4952backed Delhi Capitals | 51c | 33.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…88fcbacked Delhi Capitals | 52c | 32.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21fa…53cdbacked Rajasthan Royals | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8183…dd5bbacked Rajasthan Royals | 50c | 25.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9e…4f07backed Rajasthan Royals | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Rajasthan Royals | 50c | 24.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6064…cc6ebacked Delhi Capitals | 50c | 23.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…591dbacked Delhi Capitals | 50c | 21.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94f4…a74fbacked Delhi Capitals | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…b753backed Rajasthan Royals | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e3…f804backed Delhi Capitals | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df3…c95cbacked Delhi Capitals | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa80a…b54cbacked Delhi Capitals | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb565…8cdfbacked Delhi Capitals | 51c | 19.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals - Who wins the toss?this page
- Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi CapitalsDelhi Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.