MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18a8472b4d461a423afa02313057319db029632c91b7a85a353dd0fdf358397e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Miami Marlins, Atlanta Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $254,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $265,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Atlanta Braves | 60c | 34,057$20,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,622.91 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 24,100$9,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,640 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 19,999$11,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,999.59 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 16,215$6,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,486.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 13,136$5,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,254.25 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 13,047$5,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,218.71 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Atlanta Braves | 61c | 10,622$6,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,183.64 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 8,213$3,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,278.08 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Atlanta Braves | 60c | 6,786$4,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,714.4 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 6,004$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410.21 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Atlanta Braves | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b9…41a9backed Atlanta Braves | 78c | 4,863$3,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.57 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 4,395$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.32 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Atlanta Braves | 61c | 4,268$2,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.53 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.98 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Miami Marlins | 24c | 3,403$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.65 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Atlanta Braves | 78c | 3,211$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.43 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Miami Marlins | 5c | 3,022$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.04 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Miami Marlins | 12c | 2,908$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.3 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Miami Marlins | 10c | 2,429$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.44 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 2,410$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 20c | 2,120$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.34 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Atlanta Braves | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb883…3994backed Miami Marlins | 3c | 1,982$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 1,964$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.47 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Atlanta Braves | 71c | 1,957$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.6 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Atlanta Braves | 76c | 1,953$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 72c | 1,826$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.43 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 1,549$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.48 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Miami Marlins | 9c | 1,537$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.59 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f5…fb4abacked Atlanta Braves | 64c | 1,536$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.62 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 1,535$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Atlanta Braves | 60c | 1,440$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Miami Marlins | 7c | 1,349$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.42 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Miami Marlins | 32c | 1,267$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.33 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a91…9689backed Miami Marlins | 26c | 1,245$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…78bfbacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 1,205$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Miami Marlins | 5c | 1,038$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Miami Marlins | 3c | 989.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 983.28$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.31 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 964$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.6 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a30…6a4ebacked Miami Marlins | 3c | 836.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Miami Marlins | 5c | 766.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Miami Marlins | 6c | 729.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Miami Marlins | 5c | 700.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 700$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Miami Marlins | 5c | 692.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Miami Marlins | 5c | 657.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Miami Marlins | 5c | 655.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 639.99$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.8 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 612.45$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.98 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2513…91fbbacked Atlanta Braves | 59c | 611.77$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.83 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 602.5$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Atlanta Braves | 60c | 600.02$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.01 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Miami Marlins | 11c | 582.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f5…ab8cbacked Miami Marlins | 17c | 558.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Miami Marlins | 2c | 500.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…ea45backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed Atlanta Braves | 79c | 493.7$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Atlanta Braves | 72c | 492.38$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.28 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Atlanta Braves | 72c | 492.34$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.87 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Atlanta Braves | 71c | 491.96$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Atlanta Braves | 61c | 488.3$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.44 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…b180backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 488.3$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.44 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 482$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.8 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 480.3$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.32 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 472.58$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.65 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Atlanta Braves | 64c | 458.39$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.42 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…6146backed Miami Marlins | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Miami Marlins | 14c | 394.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Atlanta Braves | 72c | 385.5$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.98 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 361.5$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.6 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 357.24$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.85 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 332.04$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 320.2$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.88 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Atlanta Braves | 64c | 306.72$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.03 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Miami Marlins | 29c | 302.32$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.97 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 302.21$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.13 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 300$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Miami Marlins | 12c | 293.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Miami Marlins | 13c | 269.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked Miami Marlins | 20c | 262.06$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.61 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8d…150bbacked Miami Marlins | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a77…4fcfbacked Atlanta Braves | 61c | 246.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.98 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f3…4fcfbacked Atlanta Braves | 61c | 244.15$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.22 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 243.89$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Atlanta Braves | 61c | 240.15$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.66 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 239.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…3c41backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 238.95$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.19 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…bb93backed Miami Marlins | 22c | 236.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 120 | 21.7%26 W · 94 L | -25.1wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…56d1backed Miami Marlins | 8c | 236.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Miami Marlins | 24c | 235.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffaf…2e56backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 230.54$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 224.61$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.84 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 220$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.