TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb888…56d1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT2222.7%5 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Nuria Brancacciobacked Nuria Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.59
Madrid Open, Qualification: Donna Vekic vs Leolia Jeanjeanbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.79
Gwangju: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Murphy Cassonebacked Murphy Cassone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.13
Gwangju: Clement Chidekh vs Coleman Wongbacked Clement Chidekh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+78%+$160.34
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchovabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.12
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.01
Oeiras 3: Petra Marcinko vs Sinja Krausbacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.66
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreevabacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.94
BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Sheltonbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.04
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.51
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Linda Noskova vs Elina Svitolinabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.38
Barcelona Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.3
BMW Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.12
BMW Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.43
BMW Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+520.2%+$197.62
Busan: Yunchaokete Bu vs Marat Sharipovbacked Marat Sharipov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.12
Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Otto Virtanenbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.85
Barcelona Open: Tomas Machac vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.37
BMW Open: Alex Molcan vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.64
BMW Open: Marin Cilic vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.82
Busan: Ui-Sung Park vs Beibit Zhukayevbacked Beibit Zhukayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+228.6%+$219.11
Barcelona Open: Pedro Martinez vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$35.29
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-73.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$50.17
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.48
KBO: KT Wiz vs. NC Dinosbacked KT Wiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$89.65
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.31
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$62.25
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+175.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$55.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.67
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+173.4%+$505.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$391.65
Will AZ win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.02
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CS Cienciano vs. Academia Puerto Cabello end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.