NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61c3604478a723068a4189ef4b197b20eb1e524b82f24ddd584ad424f07d935a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $828,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $809,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $828,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd691…1a95backed Mavericks | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f34…eeb4backed Mavericks | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…88cabacked Mavericks | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Mavericks | 16c | 70,000$10,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,850 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mavericks | 20c | 38,705$7,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,838.5 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Mavericks | 24c | 33,240$7,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,900.54 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Mavericks | 22c | 24,375$5,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,309.93 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Thunder | 77c | 23,458$18,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,395.29 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Thunder | 75c | 17,633$13,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,408.16 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mavericks | 22c | 16,883$3,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,793.87 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Mavericks | 23c | 15,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Mavericks | 25c | 14,139$3,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,547.78 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Thunder | 76c | 12,433$9,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,983.84 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Thunder | 75c | 11,245$8,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,811.21 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Thunder | 75c | 10,300$7,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.96 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Mavericks | 23c | 9,516$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.33 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mavericks | 25c | 8,082$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.54 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mavericks | 10c | 7,869$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.14 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…17efbacked Mavericks | 18c | 6,188$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Mavericks | 24c | 6,088$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.27 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Mavericks | 0c | 5,983$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Thunder | 76c | 5,831$4,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.84 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Mavericks | 23c | 5,266$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.53 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 10c | 5,147$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.11 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Thunder | 76c | 5,000$3,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.32 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Thunder | 74c | 4,033$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.81 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Mavericks | 25c | 3,641$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.75 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Mavericks | 0c | 3,471$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Thunder | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Mavericks | 24c | 2,996$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mavericks | 25c | 2,974$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.9 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Mavericks | 19c | 2,876$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.43 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Mavericks | 14c | 2,693$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.57 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Mavericks | 13c | 2,578$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.69 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Thunder | 73c | 2,413$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.25 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Thunder | 74c | 2,177$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.29 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Mavericks | 25c | 2,151$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.67 | 337 | 35.3%119 W · 218 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4f…1c0bbacked Mavericks | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Mavericks | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks | 22c | 2,050$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Thunder | 76c | 2,020$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.04 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Thunder | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Thunder | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.98 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Mavericks | 1c | 1,653$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Mavericks | 25c | 1,363$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.75 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Mavericks | 25c | 1,259$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.24 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Mavericks | 23c | 1,043$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.98 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Mavericks | 25c | 1,006$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Mavericks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Mavericks | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf0…251cbacked Mavericks | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb37d…b5b3backed Thunder | 74c | 999.99$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Mavericks | 26c | 933.36$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.64 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Mavericks | 26c | 875$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd054…11aebacked Mavericks | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Thunder | 76c | 825.26$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.77 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 74c | 823.25$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.05 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc02…e0d4backed Mavericks | 19c | 822.47$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.27 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Thunder | 76c | 781$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.44 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mavericks | 16c | 760$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.1 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Mavericks | 24c | 749.97$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.99 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Mavericks | 25c | 739.72$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.46 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Mavericks | 30c | 665.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.79 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Mavericks | 25c | 659.14$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.79 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Thunder | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…1cedbacked Mavericks | 21c | 576.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 243 | 23.9%58 W · 185 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mavericks | 4c | 571$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Mavericks | 26c | 555.97$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.55 | 699 | 29.8%208 W · 491 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…a52cbacked Thunder | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006f…b3efbacked Thunder | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Mavericks | 7c | 508.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Thunder | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mavericks | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Mavericks | 26c | 500$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Mavericks | 26c | 459.95$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.59 | 524 | 32.6%171 W · 353 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Thunder | 77c | 454.55$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed Mavericks | 9c | 451.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 204 | 34.8%71 W · 133 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Mavericks | 26c | 445.98$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.96 | 591 | 31.1%184 W · 407 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…9766backed Mavericks | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Mavericks | 24c | 426.25$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.19 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Thunder | 75c | 424.79$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Thunder | 66c | 420.3$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.9 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Mavericks | 5c | 418.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…a883backed Mavericks | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Mavericks | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Thunder | 77c | 406$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.38 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb99a…cfb2backed Thunder | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Mavericks | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 28.3%43 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a2…1aabbacked Mavericks | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Mavericks | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mavericks | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x536d…c925backed Thunder | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c7…66a3backed Thunder | 77c | 376.13$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Mavericks | 26c | 372.16$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a14…1100backed Thunder | 74c | 343.54$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.32 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mavericks | 6c | 323.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Thunder | 75c | 305$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Thunder | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Mavericks | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Mavericks | 23c | 299.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Mavericksthis page
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Mavericks won
- Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 226.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 227.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.