TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x34c7…66a3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Serie A, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 54 out of 100; worst World Politics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$174.32
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$71.4
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$102.1
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$67.56
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$276.92
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$230.22
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.01
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zug: Marc-Andrea Huesler vs Dominic Stephan Strickerbacked Marc-Andrea Huesler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$157.14
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonsecabacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$160
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Arthur Cazauxbacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+52.8%+$158.53
Rolex Paris Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.12
Chennai Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Tatiana Prozorovabacked Prozorova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Rolex Paris Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Chennai Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Storm Hunterbacked Hontama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Valentin Royerbacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+51.6%+$103.11
Rolex Paris Masters: Corentin Moutet vs Reilly Opelkabacked Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$260
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexandre Muller vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$64.64
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$89.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Dolphins vs. Falconsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+25%+$79.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.6wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$129.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$643Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$191.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.