Serie A · resolved market
Will Bologna win on 2025-10-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68deaaa45bd415d5dc0b5539e3fd45428a32394a10c5425bdf2caff885b14508
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 46c | 7,968$3,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,276.13 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed Yes | 56c | 3,855$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 54c | 2,594$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.53 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed No | 46c | 2,196$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.1 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 40c | 2,097$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.45 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 48c | 1,860$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.1 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…623cbacked Yes | 56c | 1,569$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.98 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed No | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.67 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c7…66a3backed Yes | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 53c | 560.69$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 46c | 513.15$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.1 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…4694backed Yes | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed No | 46c | 399.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…5b1fbacked Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 53c | 374.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…56b9backed Yes | 7c | 322.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 59c | 237.15$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 47c | 210.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3623…b50dbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…b243backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…d322backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 55c | 182.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…47e6backed Yes | 24c | 174.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 53c | 169.71$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.55 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 48c | 168.28$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 46c | 158.7$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.7 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 47c | 157.29$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.45 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Yes | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 52c | 149.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 53c | 141.84$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 49c | 135.93$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.94 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 47c | 129.89$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -6.3wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 46c | 128$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2968…e0c4backed No | 48c | 122.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…7724backed Yes | 53c | 121.02$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 52c | 119.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.18 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Yes | 44c | 113.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…851ebacked Yes | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d94…5d78backed Yes | 50c | 100.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 56c | 100.18$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes | 54c | 81.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58cb…4b8cbacked Yes | 53c | 76.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 30c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eef…367fbacked No | 47c | 72.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8432…2fd5backed No | 48c | 67.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…0b26backed No | 48c | 61.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…331bbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…24edbacked Yes | 54c | 60.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 53c | 58.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a2…d4ddbacked Yes | 53c | 58.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x956c…13bebacked Yes | 55c | 54.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f6…dc27backed Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf316…b391backed Yes | 42c | 45.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 47c | 41.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 116 | 66.4%77 W · 39 L | +14.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -77%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…6240backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2341…618fbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Yes | 36c | 36.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…c77bbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed No | 48c | 35.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +5.4wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 49c | 30.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7bd…26d5backed Yes | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…0c17backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe19…3c19backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…ac11backed Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…2ee8backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna win on 2025-10-29?this page
- Will Bologna vs. Torino end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Torino win on 2025-10-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.