TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Spurs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Nets, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,461,407
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,619,806

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,461,407 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5afb…4511backed Nets19c745,683$143,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143,107.485540%22 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Spurs80c100,000$80,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,0002867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02fc…2c31backed Nets18c50,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0001729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Spurs68c49,939$33,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,051.098744.8%39 W · 48 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Nets32c42,940$13,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,774.547144.2%208 W · 263 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Spurs73c24,329$17,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,473.5385742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked Spurs80c23,215$18,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,643.0311558.3%67 W · 48 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb78…5206backed Nets14c18,180$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5002733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Spurs74c15,696$11,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,023.181529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b36…e99bbacked Nets50c14,910$7,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,45540%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71a9…143ebacked Spurs50c14,900$7,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,4502100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Nets18c13,981$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50025925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Nets15c12,674$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,882.5736148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Spurs80c11,975$9,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,39510949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8191…b082backed Nets18c11,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Spurs80c10,796$8,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.2920253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad4…3c1abacked Nets15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.987748.1%37 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8628…6f0bbacked Nets17c8,606$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.073026.7%8 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked Spurs80c7,998$6,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.51540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf166…b79abacked Spurs69c7,256$5,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,223.44966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Spurs65c7,251$4,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,505.381,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Nets25c7,056$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,782.0538434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed Spurs74c7,031$5,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,814.944843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Nets15c6,756$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.682,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Spurs77c6,494$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.5134062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Spurs71c5,000$3,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.11,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Nets15c5,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.995815.5%9 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Nets15c4,971$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.52,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Nets19c4,515$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.24553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nets16c3,910$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.858,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x788a…ed77backed Nets16c3,500$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Nets2c3,332$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7465218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfde0…f70dbacked Spurs78c3,332$2,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-67.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Nets16c2,573$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.7346342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Nets20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50047535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Nets12c2,277$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.0522243.7%97 W · 125 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Nets1c2,009$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.731,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Nets18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36075347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Nets2c1,975$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.764517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Nets15c1,700$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25550453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Spurs80c1,613$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.6592753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x096a…fd0abacked Spurs80c1,511$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.713100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+55.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Nets21c1,438$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.8666744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Nets17c1,400$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23812143%52 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nets17c1,255$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.259,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Nets4c1,213$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4416130.4%49 W · 112 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Nets4c1,205$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.851,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8f2…ace5backed Nets16c1,200$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Spurs67c1,057$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.561,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…e446backed Spurs78c1,056$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.2611146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f89…d508backed Spurs48c1,044$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.752142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Nets1c1,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111234.9%6 W · 117 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Spurs76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24017141.5%71 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e9c…ab80backed Spurs67c999.99$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3304158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Nets20c999.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20034942.7%149 W · 200 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Nets16c999.25$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8843851.8%227 W · 211 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c5b…50c9backed Nets9c852$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.687024.3%17 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Nets26c769.31$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007450%37 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Nets15c663.87$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7830249.3%149 W · 153 L+33.5wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+31.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd5a4…a680backed Nets16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ac6abacked Nets12c605.62$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705933.9%20 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Nets17c600$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10261740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nets18c585.22$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.892,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Spurs58c581.69$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.77640.8%31 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc96a…b3debacked Nets16c549.96$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.99933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-44.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Spurs77c539.03$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.961,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5635…6953backed Nets19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x348a…9506backed Nets34c519$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Nets19c516.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035438.1%135 W · 219 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Nets2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1093036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Nets15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7540035.5%142 W · 258 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x991e…3190backed Nets27c485.19$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1318337.3%31 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02f0…57b6backed Nets21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85de…3717backed Nets16c472.47$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.69235.9%33 W · 59 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661e…81d6backed Spurs71c471.06$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.3715759.9%94 W · 63 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked Nets17c462.54$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.915839.7%23 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Nets24c417.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008952.8%47 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Spurs78c414.28$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7516962.1%105 W · 64 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Nets16c413.18$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6728940.8%118 W · 171 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48d8…e967backed Nets4c400$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cdc…ae37backed Nets6c381.82$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226025%15 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x670e…19e8backed Nets17c378.7$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bc1…4c21backed Nets21c377.42$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4794…d6e5backed Nets14c376.76$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.55149%25 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf33…261fbacked Nets12c371.96$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4717420.1%35 W · 139 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Nets48c359.7$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.1259743.6%260 W · 337 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3529…a599backed Nets28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007445.9%34 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Spurs74c332.37$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4985344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1651…2f05backed Nets9c327.42$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.043732.4%12 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Nets17c327$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.491,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7137…6507backed Nets25c324.45$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4917331.2%54 W · 119 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2a0…d410backed Nets21c320.66$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick32cpaid-76.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9277…4e7dbacked Nets16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed Nets14c300$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.922039.1%86 W · 134 L+14.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Nets17c299.98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5172647.7%346 W · 380 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…675fbacked Nets20c270$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.172142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Nets15c266.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015228.3%43 W · 109 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd83a…cdbebacked Nets19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501450%7 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac23…c978backed Spurs66c255$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Nets15c250$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.585347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.