NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6bf4b569a44d64a247ec095abdc9eb243eda410d35c65c8f9a747f79328b226
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Netsof Spurs, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd43c…04e8backed Spurs | 46c | 44,363$20,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,407.05 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Nets | 54c | 39,437$21,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,140.82 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nets | 56c | 7,173$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,182.98 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spurs | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nets | 54c | 984.44$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.72 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Nets | 48c | 407$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.52 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Nets | 54c | 373.66$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.88 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 49c | 283$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.28 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Nets | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nets | 56c | 184$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.96 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nets | 58c | 183.22$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a5…4f7cbacked Spurs | 57c | 130$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Nets | 57c | 119.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Spurs | 55c | 69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa53f…b4c8backed Nets | 57c | 58.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Spurs | 43c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4c…9dc3backed Spurs | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)this page
- Nets vs. SpursSpurs won
- Nets vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Nets vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Nets vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5Under won
- Nets vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.