Tennis · resolved market
Chennai Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucia Bronzetti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb11a8223e56c514eeea99068217b3177aec6f952ed663abac76b6782e16ba5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kawaof Kawa, Bronzetti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bronzetti | 34c | 3,961$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.97 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bronzetti | 44c | 3,133$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.59 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Kawa | 17c | 2,556$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.62 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Bronzetti | 71c | 2,488$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.22 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kawa | 61c | 2,335$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.88 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bronzetti | 60c | 2,187$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Kawa | 65c | 1,408$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.3 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Kawa | 27c | 852.57$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.38 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…7c3abacked Bronzetti | 73c | 821.92$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bronzetti | 73c | 750.53$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.32 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…09b8backed Kawa | 74c | 750$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Bronzetti | 39c | 510.5$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.5 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Kawa | 50c | 432.5$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.5 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…a3f3backed Kawa | 24c | 412.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.71 | 112 | 15.2%17 W · 95 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Kawa | 37c | 397$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.11 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Kawa | 39c | 307.69$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.69 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Bronzetti | 57c | 300.38$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.58 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Kawa | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…115abacked Bronzetti | 56c | 280$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4af…7dc0backed Kawa | 44c | 280$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c7…66a3backed Kawa | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Bronzetti | 41c | 261$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.01 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…cae5backed Bronzetti | 51c | 222$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Kawa | 51c | 221.18$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.68 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Kawa | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Bronzetti | 77c | 190$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.8 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e72…b2febacked Kawa | 79c | 177.45$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Bronzetti | 73c | 171.67$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…1278backed Kawa | 75c | 139.53$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Bronzetti | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Bronzetti | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Kawa | 49c | 130$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 216 | 55.6%120 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…cb36backed Bronzetti | 73c | 123.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Kawa | 26c | 120$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…2518backed Bronzetti | 68c | 110.19$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Kawa | 43c | 106.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.44 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3819…1774backed Bronzetti | 73c | 100.51$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1544…6f27backed Kawa | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed Kawa | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Bronzetti | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Kawa | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 276 | 64.1%177 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ceb…1952backed Kawa | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…2eaebacked Bronzetti | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 66 | 75.8%50 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Bronzetti | 53c | 95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kawa | 49c | 87$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Bronzetti | 65c | 75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Kawa | 27c | 69.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Kawa | 31c | 65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Kawa | 28c | 64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bronzetti | 69c | 61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6524…d2d8backed Kawa | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a74…c3e4backed Kawa | 77c | 57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 69cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…a55dbacked Bronzetti | 73c | 54.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 229 | 65.9%151 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…d617backed Kawa | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc3…acaebacked Bronzetti | 73c | 47.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfe…825dbacked Kawa | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8545…da3bbacked Kawa | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Bronzetti | 70c | 37.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Kawa | 72c | 29.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc256…aba2backed Bronzetti | 63c | 28.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Bronzetti | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…8917backed Bronzetti | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…6d94backed Kawa | 41c | 26.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…e189backed Bronzetti | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…04e4backed Bronzetti | 73c | 20.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7237…ca81backed Kawa | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…08bfbacked Kawa | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.