TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6006…cae5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst College Football at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST3161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+92.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+143.9%+$196.47
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$148.73
Heat vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+46.5%+$66.45
Grizzlies vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$208.68
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$115.44
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$275.28
Hornets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$71.04
Raptors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+50.9%+$149.85
Celtics vs. Pelicansbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$122.1
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$95.46
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+124.7%+$246.42
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.8
Raptors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+90.5%+$210.9
Pacers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$86.58
Hornets vs. Wizardsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$119.88
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$126.54
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$88.8
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$179.81
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$205.35
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.62
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$176.49
Raptors vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.88
Hornets vs. Mavericksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+203%+$223.11
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$234.65
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$39.04
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST2142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,069Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+242.8%+$2,595.82
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$165.75
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.88
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.85
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$156.51
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$159.84
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.4
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$248
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$390.72
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$310.8
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$392
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$52.9
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.6
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$417
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$314.4
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+70.3%+$115.6
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$37.87
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$94
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$90
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Nationals vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$28
All 21 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Sharksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$79.92
Ducks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$139.86
Blue Jackets vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$117.66
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$126.54
Oilers vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$130.98
Sharks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$128.76
Avalanche vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$99.9
Islanders vs. Flyersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$156.51
Wild vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$168
Oilers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$183.15
Capitals vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$111
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$144
Rangers vs. Penguinsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$166.84
Blues vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+48.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$108
Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$405
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$350
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$153
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+65.9%+$98.91
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will West Ham win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$206.38
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$414.29
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$390
Will Arsenal vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$345.03
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rowe vs. Kobacked Rowe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$296.85
Cuamba vs. Leebacked Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$395.26
Park vs. Aliskerovbacked Park · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$199.7
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+203%+$223.11
Procházka vs. Rountree Jr.backed Rountree Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$168.72
Santos vs. Yoobacked Yoo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$264
All 6 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah State vs. New Mexicobacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.46
LSU vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$104.34
Utah State vs. Hawaiibacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$147
Oklahoma vs. Texasbacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$147
Northern Illinois vs. Eastern Michiganbacked Northern Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$140.25
All 5 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-57.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$791Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$790.8
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$513.76
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$91.02
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.Gbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$190
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 23, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$188
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.85
Seahawks vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$125
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$844.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown by October 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$174.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.