NHL · resolved market
Sharks vs. Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd874dd37e8ab33bb294e8d79431ab70d6fbc078ae46ca6d229536228c3b6d73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Sharks, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $197,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sharks | 37c | 94,272$35,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,105.44 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Wild | 65c | 32,430$21,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,079.46 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Wild | 65c | 18,223$11,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,845.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…2a37backed Sharks | 50c | 14,534$7,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,267 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedff…7218backed Wild | 50c | 14,534$7,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,267 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…bb56backed Wild | 65c | 10,492$6,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,820 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Sharks | 35c | 10,438$3,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,785.01 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Wild | 65c | 9,806$6,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,374.32 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Sharks | 36c | 6,995$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,478.38 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Wild | 65c | 6,994$4,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,546 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x075f…833cbacked Wild | 65c | 5,375$3,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,493.98 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Wild | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Wild | 45c | 4,403$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.47 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Wild | 64c | 3,600$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…e0fbbacked Wild | 65c | 3,277$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.16 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Wild | 65c | 3,003$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.08 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Sharks | 36c | 2,984$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.57 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Wild | 65c | 2,725$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.41 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Wild | 65c | 2,534$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.51 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Wild | 66c | 2,450$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.8 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Wild | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.07 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…ee73backed Sharks | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sharks | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wild | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.99 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Wild | 65c | 1,962$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.36 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wild | 26c | 1,673$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.65 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Wild | 65c | 1,462$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.3 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05b…a94fbacked Wild | 65c | 1,337$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.75 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Sharks | 35c | 1,333$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.22 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Sharks | 61c | 1,265$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.26 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sharks | 67c | 1,087$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.7 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Wild | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Wild | 65c | 792.31$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Wild | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec9…2c29backed Wild | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wild | 65c | 715.63$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.89 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Wild | 13c | 636.78$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.78 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Wild | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wild | 65c | 588$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.2 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Wild | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Sharks | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Wild | 34c | 479$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.86 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Sharks | 58c | 442.51$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.63 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wild | 47c | 401.86$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.31 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…99febacked Wild | 65c | 400$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…9868backed Sharks | 35c | 342.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.85 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Wild | 18c | 334.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.15 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Wild | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Wild | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe354…a9a0backed Wild | 40c | 289.59$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Wild | 26c | 264.58$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…abf9backed Sharks | 35c | 257.5$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.89 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Sharks | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x383e…ab30backed Wild | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Wild | 65c | 250$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.5 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wild | 43c | 249.2$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.78 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Wild | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…cae5backed Wild | 58c | 222$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Wild | 62c | 216.34$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Sharks | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1,220 | 46.1%562 W · 658 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Wild | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -6.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sharks | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Sharks | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9915…3704backed Wild | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Wild | 56c | 190$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 158 | 39.9%63 W · 95 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7356…2881backed Wild | 59c | 170.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Sharks | 46c | 162.83$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93c6…90d0backed Sharks | 44c | 159.84$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Wild | 45c | 157.2$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.58 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…cf95backed Wild | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wild | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Wild | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Wild | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb05c…cba1backed Sharks | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Sharks | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Sharks | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Sharks | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Wild | 65c | 98.58$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.05 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a41…736bbacked Wild | 46c | 86.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Sharks | 70c | 81.51$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b5…cf5fbacked Wild | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Wild | 27c | 73.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…baa4backed Sharks | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wild | 64c | 68.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Wild | 62c | 64.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Wild | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda7a…d321backed Wild | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9fbbbacked Wild | 66c | 54.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Sharks | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Wild | 65c | 51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 234 | 62%145 W · 89 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Wild | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e757backed Sharks | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed Sharks | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…cd3dbacked Wild | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 212 | 45.8%97 W · 115 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…34a6backed Wild | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ad…e353backed Wild | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Wild | 66c | 42.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 799 | 56.1%448 W · 351 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d3…cabfbacked Sharks | 36c | 41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc256…aba2backed Wild | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…a000backed Wild | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sharks vs. Wildthis page
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.