TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sharks vs. Wild

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sharksof Sharks, Wild
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$197,994
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$200,371

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,994 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Sharks37c94,272$35,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,105.441,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Wild65c32,430$21,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,079.4688151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked Wild65c18,223$11,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,845.02742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7bd…2a37backed Sharks50c14,534$7,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,2672147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+73.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedff…7218backed Wild50c14,534$7,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,267742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e85…bb56backed Wild65c10,492$6,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,8201936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Sharks35c10,438$3,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,785.0131546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Wild65c9,806$6,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,374.3257453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Sharks36c6,995$2,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,478.3837847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x305e…7d29backed Wild65c6,994$4,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5461936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x075f…833cbacked Wild65c5,375$3,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,493.981020%2 W · 8 L-3.7wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-63.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Wild64c5,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,20033151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Wild45c4,403$1,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,978.4758841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Wild64c3,600$2,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30433652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f84…e0fbbacked Wild65c3,277$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,130.162245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Wild65c3,003$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,952.0816346%75 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Sharks36c2,984$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,909.5715646.2%72 W · 84 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Wild65c2,725$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,782.4130848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Wild65c2,534$1,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,640.5141246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x86a3…33dbbacked Wild66c2,450$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,616.83053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Wild64c2,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.0730552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa365…ee73backed Sharks35c2,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3002240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Sharks35c2,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3001,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Wild65c2,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.9997651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Wild65c1,962$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.3669550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Wild26c1,673$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.6589636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Wild65c1,462$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.375155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa05b…a94fbacked Wild65c1,337$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.753661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Sharks35c1,333$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.2289249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Sharks61c1,265$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.2695049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Sharks67c1,087$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.73,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Wild20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20041340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Wild65c792.31$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51531753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Wild65c769.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50075251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ec9…2c29backed Wild66c757.58$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wild65c715.63$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.892,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Wild13c636.78$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7830944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Wild65c615.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40023047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Wild65c588$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.21,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Wild65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32538046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked Sharks35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3254045%18 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Wild34c479$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.8629319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Sharks58c442.51$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.637149.3%35 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wild47c401.86$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.311,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0774…99febacked Wild65c400$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2603740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9999…9868backed Sharks35c342.85$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.853357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Wild18c334.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1558467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Wild65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023653.8%127 W · 109 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Wild64c300$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19275946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe354…a9a0backed Wild40c289.59$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73b8…aa92backed Wild26c264.58$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6918144.8%81 W · 100 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x483b…abf9backed Sharks35c257.5$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.8912348.8%60 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Sharks36c250$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16023741.4%98 W · 139 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x383e…ab30backed Wild20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501127.3%3 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Wild65c250$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.518750.3%94 W · 93 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Wild43c249.2$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7882043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Wild65c230.77$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010850.9%55 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6006…cae5backed Wild58c222$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.761442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Wild62c216.34$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13545954.2%249 W · 210 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Sharks35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301,22046.1%562 W · 658 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb90…1917backed Wild60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204131.7%13 W · 28 L-6.5wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-35.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Sharks35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13043944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x151f…807dbacked Sharks67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665957.6%34 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9915…3704backed Wild55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Wild56c190$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.415839.9%63 W · 95 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7356…2881backed Wild59c170.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Sharks46c162.83$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.61,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93c6…90d0backed Sharks44c159.84$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.913748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Wild45c157.2$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.581,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bba…cf95backed Wild65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Wild65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Wild66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10045447.8%217 W · 237 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Wild66c150$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9938445.8%176 W · 208 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb05c…cba1backed Sharks36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8913941.7%58 W · 81 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Sharks35c114.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2969142.8%296 W · 395 L-2.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Sharks25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7513453%71 W · 63 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Sharks36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Wild65c98.58$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0562249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a41…736bbacked Wild46c86.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Sharks70c81.51$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5633848.8%165 W · 173 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39b5…cf5fbacked Wild62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Wild27c73.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040340.9%165 W · 238 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f0…baa4backed Sharks35c71.43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4312645.2%57 W · 69 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wild64c68.58$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.891,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Wild62c64.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2811051.8%57 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Wild65c61.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012649.2%62 W · 64 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda7a…d321backed Wild65c61.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4025550.2%128 W · 127 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf40e…9fbbbacked Wild66c54.58$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.02850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fbc…3099backed Sharks39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.284450%22 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Wild65c51$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1523462%145 W · 89 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Wild24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1214451.4%74 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882e…e757backed Sharks35c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.54139%16 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfaea…b079backed Sharks35c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.52917.2%5 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-52.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e92…cd3dbacked Wild65c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.521245.8%97 W · 115 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…34a6backed Wild66c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9ad…e353backed Wild66c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-38.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Wild66c42.42$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2879956.1%448 W · 351 L-2.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94d3…cabfbacked Sharks36c41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.248946.1%41 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc256…aba2backed Wild50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205869%40 W · 18 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x472c…a000backed Wild65c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266857.4%39 W · 29 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.