TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x52b7…34a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: College Football, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 53 out of 100; worst NFL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Celtics vs. Warriorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+63.9%+$22.5
Suns vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$293.76
Thunder vs. Mavericksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$10
Raptors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Celtics vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$539.4
Hawks vs. Bullsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$408
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$387.35
Hornets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$622Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$622.16
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+67.4%+$268.08
All 11 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas A&M vs. LSUbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.5
Georgia Southern vs. Arkansas Statebacked Arkansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
BYU vs. Iowa Statebacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$288.85
San Diego State vs. Fresno Statebacked Fresno State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$205
Ball State vs. Northern Illinoisbacked Northern Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$824Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$387.84
Kansas State vs. Kansasbacked Kansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+150%+$294.6
Auburn vs. Arkansasbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$372.96
Ohio vs. Eastern Michiganbacked Ohio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
Northwestern vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+37%+$192.78
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick59cpaid-71.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Kraken vs. Starsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Sharks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Golden Knights vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$293.04
Blues vs. Red Wingsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 5 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Aljamain Sterling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jiangxi Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintsevabacked Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$3.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.