TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blues vs. Red Wings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Red Wingsof Blues, Red Wings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$225,274
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$233,476

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $225,274 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaa07…2125backed Blues50c42,966$21,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,482.791,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x145c…43bcbacked Blues52c40,614$21,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,013.133148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Blues76c38,914$29,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,494.081,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Red Wings28c31,100$8,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,49542552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Red Wings26c23,317$6,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,155.4721652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Red Wings43c22,215$9,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,770.7730944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Blues49c15,396$7,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,54414538.6%56 W · 89 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Red Wings48c13,341$6,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,937.0788151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Red Wings25c9,591$2,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,147.6431546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed Red Wings48c9,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6805950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Red Wings50c7,527$3,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,788.8630551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb8…5096backed Blues48c6,785$3,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,256.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7112…1345backed Red Wings52c6,785$3,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,256.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Blues50c6,394$3,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,221.7141246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Red Wings50c6,078$3,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0401,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Red Wings50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0005448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e4…f06fbacked Red Wings48c6,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1201338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Blues74c5,418$4,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,009.3226344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Blues52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6005446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Red Wings48c4,825$2,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5091233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-42.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Red Wings49c4,435$2,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,261.6214253.5%76 W · 66 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Red Wings50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00019451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Red Wings27c3,111$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,276.8943743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Red Wings50c2,195$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.8924347.7%116 W · 127 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Red Wings48c2,139$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.9537847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Red Wings48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04030552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Red Wings49c2,000$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0303557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8a3…801cbacked Blues52c2,000$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.981741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked Red Wings48c1,883$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.19742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Red Wings37c1,616$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,01158841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6253…20a6backed Blues49c1,581$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.784447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Blues50c1,351$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.557453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Blues48c1,113$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.911,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Red Wings50c1,090$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.9662249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Red Wings50c1,000$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.0154349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Red Wings48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52022852.6%120 W · 108 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ec…af87backed Red Wings51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+58.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc24…df47backed Blues50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-53.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Red Wings49c999.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9925447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38d4…f9c0backed Blues48c940$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Blues52c830$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.661959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings48c740.57$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.091,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Blues47c663.8$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.3589636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Blues49c604.95$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.4297651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Red Wings50c600$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.435349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fba…2aecbacked Blues50c592.16$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.08683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+70.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e12…44babacked Red Wings51c592.16$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.16922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.34per pick56cpaid-60%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3c17…c022backed Red Wings51c574.51$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.51650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe712…45a1backed Blues50c574.5$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.25475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+59.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02b4…4adabacked Red Wings51c550.98$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.981030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-42.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ab9…2392backed Blues50c550.98$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.491163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+32.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Red Wings48c449.99$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2341,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Red Wings27c444.44$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.4429319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf425…4e8bbacked Blues50c417.66$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.83785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.39per pick47cpaid+85%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f49…1f1cbacked Red Wings51c417.65$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.651118.2%2 W · 9 L-4.1wins-0.37per pick55cpaid-68.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Blues52c416.67$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.6713952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e9…3418backed Red Wings51c401.96$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.96933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57c0…65ecbacked Blues50c401.96$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.98771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+49.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Red Wings28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1485148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x679b…a784backed Red Wings51c335.29$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.291136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f74…85edbacked Blues50c335.28$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.641060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Red Wings47c321.62$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.4612941.9%54 W · 75 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9999…9868backed Red Wings38c315.78$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.783357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x473a…5c43backed Red Wings52c295$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d4…ad20backed Red Wings51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.123534.3%12 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Red Wings51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.574951.8%388 W · 361 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x804c…3202backed Red Wings52c240$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Blues50c220$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Blues52c219.93$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3623741.4%98 W · 139 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd339…d3a1backed Blues48c211.85$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.693946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a7f…4cd8backed Red Wings51c209.8$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.82454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Red Wings50c209.6$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.848748.3%235 W · 252 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…fe18backed Red Wings52c207$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…34a6backed Blues49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc974…c28cbacked Red Wings52c201.92$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf196…326ebacked Blues50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbd7…51fcbacked Red Wings51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9748…8afcbacked Red Wings52c198$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb52d…95ffbacked Red Wings51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.085141.2%21 W · 30 L-7.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x630d…d066backed Red Wings51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7ff…bd61backed Red Wings51c194$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.06450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blues9c183.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.743,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7df…27cdbacked Red Wings27c178$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.94450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+62%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Red Wings48c168$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.221,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Red Wings48c126$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5223545.1%106 W · 129 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c2b…aa95backed Red Wings27c111.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.112552%13 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97da…d63bbacked Red Wings51c105$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4520249.5%100 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Red Wings51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491,22046.1%562 W · 658 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Blues50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x151f…807dbacked Red Wings49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515957.6%34 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1304…138cbacked Red Wings20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6777…2612backed Red Wings51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.045446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…435cbacked Blues50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7923…d78abacked Blues50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3804…6136backed Blues49c85$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6529345.1%132 W · 161 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a29…c0b6backed Blues50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022555.1%124 W · 101 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Red Wings51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4345954.2%249 W · 210 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Red Wings51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4345447.8%217 W · 237 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9e7…af6bbacked Red Wings47c77$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8147845.8%219 W · 259 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffaa…7fd4backed Red Wings27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.07560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+100.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.