Tennis · resolved market
Jiangxi Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9500512f20a8d340464e8942d24742a337e1a241ebb652b48f1337256caa1d35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Putintsevaof Putintseva, Kasintseva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ce3…3bc3backed Putintseva | 76c | 4,009$3,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.38 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Kasintseva | 25c | 3,166$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.36 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c2…51f9backed Kasintseva | 30c | 2,339$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.62 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Putintseva | 71c | 2,131$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.84 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kasintseva | 35c | 1,830$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.48 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…232fbacked Putintseva | 65c | 1,544$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.21 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kasintseva | 22c | 1,282$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.38 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kasintseva | 4c | 1,159$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Kasintseva | 26c | 768.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.93 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Putintseva | 65c | 765.26$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.26 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad1e…6b90backed Kasintseva | 28c | 574.1$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.75 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Putintseva | 64c | 541.9$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.83 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Kasintseva | 15c | 537.79$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.44 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Kasintseva | 24c | 504.15$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.99 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kasintseva | 37c | 500.65$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.6 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Kasintseva | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed Kasintseva | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Putintseva | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Putintseva | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Kasintseva | 36c | 111$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…2300backed Kasintseva | 21c | 102.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Kasintseva | 33c | 81.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61a0…8208backed Putintseva | 61c | 63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Kasintseva | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…747cbacked Putintseva | 74c | 58.15$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Kasintseva | 39c | 50.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc80…8634backed Kasintseva | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8460…af5dbacked Kasintseva | 43c | 34.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…f84cbacked Kasintseva | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07e…b88ebacked Putintseva | 68c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c6…5b8bbacked Putintseva | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Putintseva | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Putintseva | 63c | 19.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +6.5wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…34a6backed Putintseva | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.