TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa07e…b88e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NHL, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 51 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST2445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$610
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+72.4%+$210
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$640
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$380
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$165
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$450
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+56.3%+$360
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$460
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+194.1%+$660
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$365
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+127.3%+$336
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$420
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$510
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$249.92
Suns vs. Knicksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+127.3%+$280
Jazz vs. Mavericksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$450
Jazz vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+29.9%+$17.94
Kings vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$118.39
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.5
Thunder vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 24 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Ben Shelton vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+117.4%+$59.94
Open de Moselle: Daniel Altmaier vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20.13
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$10
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Valentin Royerbacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$31.68
Rolex Paris Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Arthur Cazauxbacked Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$32.96
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniel Altmaier vs Marcos Gironbacked Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.6
Jiangxi Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintsevabacked Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$8.64
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Sebastian Korda vs Valentin Royerbacked Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.6
Swiss Indoors Basel: Joao Fonseca vs Jaume Munarbacked Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.4
Guangzhou Open: Claire Liu vs Ella Seidelbacked Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.4
Erste Bank Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.4
Erste Bank Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Corentin Moutetbacked Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.96
Pan Pacific Open: Diana Shnaider vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$550
Utah vs. Predatorsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+85.2%+$460
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.16
Islanders vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$29.4
Kraken vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$22.2
All 5 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-65.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Los Heretics (BO5)backed Los Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Ratones (BO5)backed Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Middle Tennessee vs. Delaware Blue Hensbacked Middle Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Macarthur FC win on 2025-10-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.