TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Guangzhou Open: Claire Liu vs Ella Seidel

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Liuof Liu, Seidel
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,416
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,247

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,416 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x620b…d4adbacked Liu34c17,768$6,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,721.781936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Seidel58c15,674$9,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,058.538,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa576…89a4backed Liu35c7,499$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,874.572441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacdf…0ec4backed Seidel66c4,100$2,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,705.998562.4%53 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Seidel65c2,250$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,46023852.1%124 W · 114 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Seidel43c2,023$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.3665242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Liu14c2,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,71028833.3%96 W · 192 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e9c…ab80backed Liu66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6803534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Liu62c1,888$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.949749.9%248 W · 249 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Seidel39c1,609$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.3911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Seidel75c1,584$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.1633256%186 W · 146 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Seidel65c1,538$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.838562.4%53 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Seidel45c1,053$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.4375547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23b…24f9backed Seidel68c1,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6801855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c63…a2f9backed Liu35c849.61$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.924852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b9f…d2b9backed Seidel66c756$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.965255.8%29 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Seidel68c752.78$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.855143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Seidel67c741.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50059151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b59…232fbacked Liu34c735.29$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.293852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Seidel61c712$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.841,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Seidel65c600$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3928537.6%32 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00e0…93c4backed Liu47c590.85$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.33475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+79.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4aae…d563backed Seidel65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3251752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3248…aad4backed Seidel60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Liu37c499.98$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.9981938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed Liu52c479$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.9511943.7%52 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Seidel31c437.47$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13717442.5%74 W · 100 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Seidel62c436.23$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.781,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Seidel73c428.68$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.942147.6%10 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick65cpaid-31.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe0fd…5b3cbacked Liu27c370.4$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.692737%10 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick30cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Seidel69c361.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25031643%136 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Liu42c356.66$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.6622744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94e5…6cfebacked Liu54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1381070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Liu34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1273147.9%350 W · 381 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb6…15cdbacked Seidel51c280.7$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.773452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Liu61c246.34$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.121,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa518…747cbacked Seidel63c246.03$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551040%4 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-40.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Seidel56c216.22$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.843158.2%251 W · 180 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Liu61c206$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.4943948.5%213 W · 226 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x151f…807dbacked Seidel61c200$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1213740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ef9…7a60backed Liu15c200$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1704546.7%21 W · 24 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+15.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Seidel66c195.26$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8795140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7292…6bd3backed Seidel55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x72e0…9fc1backed Seidel67c147.76$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Liu18c144.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.582,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb911…a649backed Seidel69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Seidel69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020257.4%116 W · 86 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Seidel70c134.29$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9449955.1%275 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Seidel77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf0…309ebacked Liu63c126.97$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d37…59b5backed Liu34c126.09$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.229462.8%59 W · 35 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Liu40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756331.7%20 W · 43 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a4a…14d2backed Liu49c110$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f55…2cd0backed Liu63c104.3$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick71cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Liu21c103$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.32,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed Seidel75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7574961.8%463 W · 286 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Liu21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7911533.9%39 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed Seidel67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6733134.7%115 W · 216 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4731…cba8backed Seidel65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510846.3%50 W · 58 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x087a…48c4backed Seidel54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Seidel67c89.46$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012560%75 W · 50 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed Seidel18c80$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.331339.9%125 W · 188 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07e…b88ebacked Seidel68c80$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.41338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x31d6…d617backed Seidel68c80$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.44461.4%27 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf08b…9a7dbacked Seidel58c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.42661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfb1…982dbacked Liu32c80$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.41361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+37.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf225…f863backed Liu32c80$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick24cpaid+45.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x614b…5845backed Seidel63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503727%10 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42ed…d13dbacked Seidel58c74.42$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-41.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Liu30c71.63$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.172,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Liu28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.431,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe746…0f5fbacked Seidel36c67.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61a0…8208backed Liu32c65$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.21266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+54.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x09e6…f84cbacked Seidel68c65$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.21241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-39.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b55…2eaebacked Liu65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.546675.8%50 W · 16 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe394…920cbacked Seidel70c61.46$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.021275%9 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe944…0837backed Liu39c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.98050%40 W · 40 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Seidel69c57.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4046556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Seidel47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.562952.1%328 W · 301 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Seidel50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7534842.2%147 W · 201 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5398…a8a9backed Seidel68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91cc…6e20backed Seidel71c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda60…9126backed Liu32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Seidel70c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8285…2e62backed Liu39c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ee…efe0backed Liu32c37.88$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.764163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6769…8355backed Seidel76c36.11$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.511154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd891…8d2abacked Seidel57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e72…b2febacked Liu63c31.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.95360.4%32 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0774…99febacked Seidel63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e2…9710backed Seidel50c31.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.82552%13 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb984…e881backed Seidel67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick74cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaf3…3bf8backed Seidel69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206930.4%21 W · 48 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb46…5d1bbacked Seidel71c28.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202450%12 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked Seidel72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.9wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-42.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xaf81…cf50backed Seidel43c27.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+36.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Liu60c27.49$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1330931.1%96 W · 213 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d81…bf65backed Seidel77c25.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fc7…5d7bbacked Seidel65c23.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3420%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fa9…259ebacked Seidel56c23.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.24728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-44%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.