TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb8e2…9710

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT2552%13 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chennai Open, Qualification: Arianne Hartono vs Priska Madelyn Nugrohobacked Nugroho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
Pan Pacific Open: Belinda Bencic vs Linda Noskovabacked Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Swiss Indoors Basel: Ugo Humbert vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Swiss Indoors Basel: Joao Fonseca vs Jaume Munarbacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Guangzhou Open: Shuai Zhang vs Ann Libacked Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Erste Bank Open: Corentin Moutet vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
Swiss Indoors Basel: Ugo Humbert vs Reilly Opelkabacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
Swiss Indoors Basel: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jaume Munarbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Guangzhou Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Ann Libacked Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Pan Pacific Open: Belinda Bencic vs Karolina Muchovabacked Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Guangzhou Open: Claire Liu vs Ella Seidelbacked Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.8
Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Corentin Moutetbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Swiss Indoors Basel: Jaume Munar vs Ben Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Swiss Indoors Basel: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marin Cilicbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
Erste Bank Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Cameron Norriebacked Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Guangzhou Open: Shuai Zhang vs Veronika Erjavecbacked Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
Pan Pacific Open: Wakana Sonobe vs Sofia Keninbacked Sonobe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Guangzhou Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Guangzhou Open: Xiyu Wang vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$15.98
Erste Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Swiss Indoors Basel: Sebastian Korda vs Ugo Humbertbacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Swiss Indoors Basel: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Jiri Leheckabacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Pan Pacific Open: Maya Joint vs Karolina Muchovabacked Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Pan Pacific Open: Diana Shnaider vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.2
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT2070%14 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.6
Nets vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
Suns vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$9
Hornets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Thunder vs. Hawksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Bucks vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$8
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+109.5%+$16.43
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+61.8%+$9.27
Thunder vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
Pelicans vs. Grizzliesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$12.31
Nets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$12.31
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+51.7%+$36.17
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.56
Jets vs. Flames: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$34.3
Spread: Jets (-1.5)backed Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$30.4
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.25
Spread: Flyers (-1.5)backed Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.56
Kraken vs. Flyersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Wild vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Wild vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$4.95
Kraken vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.4
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)backed Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$24.96
Spread: Utah (-1.5)backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$36.11
Ducks vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$42.75
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-50.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$4.35
Aston Villa vs. Manchester City: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$85
Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Liverpool vs. Manchester United: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$84
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Fulham vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+62%+$123.93
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+57.2%+$114.42
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$92.79
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Sporting CP vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.54
Atalanta BC vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)backed SK Slavia Praha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.6
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Juventus FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$9
Chelsea FC vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$12
Galatasaray SK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$30.53
All 9 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-53.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$32.56
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$38.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buccaneers vs. Lions: O/U 52.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.6
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$25.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Torino vs. Napoli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$127.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+37%+$4.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.