Premier League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-10-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbd6ed1698e9653bc6a2cd23bd67b6709f25c20dc094becaf817a9bcb7909e4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $217,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x14bc…aa14backed Yes | 0c | 41,293$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes | 26c | 26,039$6,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,770.17 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 16c | 17,042$2,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,757.7 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2c98backed Yes | 2c | 14,322$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1085…ff63backed Yes | 26c | 11,630$2,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,979.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 74c | 8,546$6,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,221.95 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6307…fb7cbacked No | 76c | 6,500$4,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 30c | 5,744$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.34 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd070…a978backed Yes | 32c | 5,625$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 68c | 5,621$3,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.8 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdffb…a16bbacked No | 75c | 3,500$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked No | 69c | 3,250$2,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.49 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 30c | 2,800$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked No | 70c | 2,710$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…d0c5backed No | 75c | 2,669$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.22 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc457…56a7backed No | 76c | 2,550$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 2,488$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.18 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 72c | 2,182$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.01 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 28c | 2,143$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 31c | 2,050$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 465 | 51.8%241 W · 224 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 30c | 1,913$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.19 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 74c | 1,892$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.89 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked No | 70c | 1,689$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.82 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…7b4fbacked Yes | 31c | 1,631$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be7…4690backed No | 70c | 1,631$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Yes | 28c | 1,627$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 73c | 1,577$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.72 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 73c | 1,572$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.39 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 28c | 1,570$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.86 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed No | 70c | 1,514$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.29 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,412$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.59 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,250$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed No | 73c | 1,244$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.96 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed Yes | 28c | 1,230$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes | 29c | 1,148$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 24c | 999.97$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 29c | 951.61$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7682…07fdbacked Yes | 26c | 880$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 24c | 800$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 71c | 702.11$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.55 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…d3aabacked No | 76c | 700$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ce…d898backed Yes | 24c | 700$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed No | 74c | 700$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e29…6477backed Yes | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538f…b40ebacked No | 74c | 660.99$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.86 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 74cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 71c | 659.99$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.4 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 74c | 640$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.4 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…0ddbbacked Yes | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…1ab1backed No | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdde…37abbacked No | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked No | 73c | 589$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.15 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Yes | 31c | 562.58$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.4 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 108 | 74.1%80 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 69c | 489.99$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.7 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…962dbacked No | 76c | 460.53$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.53 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 33c | 459.55$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.48 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yes | 24c | 450$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 28c | 446.43$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed No | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 31c | 422.58$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf45…ea2cbacked No | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed No | 77c | 390.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.32 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 25c | 382.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.21 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 74c | 377.01$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.02 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4023…2158backed No | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed No | 75c | 345.25$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.31 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 24c | 342.41$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 73c | 336.89$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.96 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +12.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35fd…582dbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 7c | 282.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe931…138bbacked No | 72c | 276.39$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.39 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 73c | 274$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 79c | 260.83$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 25c | 250.93$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.17 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 80c | 221.88$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.87 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 76c | 220$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xce2c…7845backed No | 73c | 206$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 75c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 26c | 189.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 32c | 188.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Yes | 31c | 179.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf453…9c8dbacked No | 70c | 171.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…8603backed Yes | 31c | 171.35$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked Yes | 27c | 164$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 74c | 162.23$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…6019backed Yes | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 70c | 138$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-10-18?this page
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-18?Yes won
- Will Nottingham Forest vs. Chelsea end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.