Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf40e6609e2248e3c86df5d9a1618427700ecf23a91c95c81ccafa7c5193e8d74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,110,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,348,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,110,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 568 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 199,266$100,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,616.07 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff48…b0ecbacked Yes | 50c | 135,142$67,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,570.97 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 50c | 95,091$47,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,998.21 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 49c | 77,940$38,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,786.69 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 49c | 54,873$26,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,124.23 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,600 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 45c | 37,589$17,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,013.39 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 54c | 36,536$19,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,723.78 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 49c | 34,617$17,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,544.14 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 50c | 33,494$16,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,702.91 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 53c | 31,260$16,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,562.4 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa768…0ad1backed Yes | 42c | 30,000$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,400 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 50c | 27,500$13,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,733.9 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 57c | 26,764$15,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,276.21 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 51c | 26,228$13,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,296.65 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 49c | 23,430$11,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,480.55 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked No | 56c | 22,762$12,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,746.79 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 49c | 21,929$10,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,085.93 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 51c | 20,044$10,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,314.16 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 40c | 17,208$6,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,280.47 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed No | 49c | 16,987$8,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,372.72 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 54c | 16,340$8,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,747.01 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 50c | 15,181$7,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,592.35 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe200…da2abacked No | 50c | 14,325$7,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,162.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…2e38backed Yes | 50c | 14,325$7,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,162.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fec…5b6fbacked Yes | 46c | 11,851$5,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,399.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed Yes | 43c | 11,605$4,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,614.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +53%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc478…d2e2backed Yes | 47c | 9,262$4,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,895.12 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 43c | 8,395$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,795.14 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 8,301$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378.28 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 53c | 8,045$4,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,283.61 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 50c | 7,961$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 30c | 7,925$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.32 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 43c | 7,160$3,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,083.78 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…86babacked Yes | 37c | 6,503$2,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,097.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbadd…2564backed Yes | 47c | 6,247$2,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,310.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 58c | 6,000$3,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,459.98 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 47c | 5,000$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,672.45 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Yes | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes | 49c | 4,987$2,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.52 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1847…ebcfbacked No | 58c | 4,654$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2d…b68bbacked Yes | 42c | 4,654$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd937…d226backed No | 49c | 4,636$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…792bbacked Yes | 43c | 4,393$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.14 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed Yes | 43c | 4,318$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.29 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 45c | 4,000$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.99 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 47c | 3,600$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.98 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 43c | 3,372$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.09 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yes | 42c | 3,152$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.25 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 54c | 3,002$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.24 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 50c | 3,000$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf661…d170backed No | 49c | 2,905$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.45 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc12b…1652backed Yes | 42c | 2,763$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 7c | 2,635$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.8 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 57c | 2,614$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.91 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 39c | 2,566$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.18 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5421…f713backed Yes | 39c | 2,533$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.8 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 77c | 2,439$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.97 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…b883backed Yes | 44c | 2,395$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.84 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 78c | 2,248$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.32 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Yes | 56c | 2,223$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 5c | 2,199$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.74 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 60c | 2,126$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.03 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 50c | 2,100$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed Yes | 43c | 2,037$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.05 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.81 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked No | 64c | 1,940$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.48 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 52c | 1,799$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.71 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked No | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.79 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 47c | 1,466$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.19 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 56c | 1,454$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.28 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +8.2wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Yes | 43c | 1,427$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.54 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498f…3a5bbacked Yes | 43c | 1,419$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 145 | 44.1%64 W · 81 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 56c | 1,231$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.26 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Yes | 38c | 1,214$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.68 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…5efabacked Yes | 39c | 1,178$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.16 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…4b53backed Yes | 47c | 1,157$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.07 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6766…086dbacked Yes | 42c | 1,150$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 55cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 50c | 1,100$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.63 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd01…d5acbacked Yes | 69c | 1,092$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 48c | 1,072$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.42 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 47c | 1,070$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.24 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 47c | 1,055$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.08 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 47c | 1,030$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.5 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 36c | 1,028$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.78 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…fabbbacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfc…4194backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 55c | 1,000$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 40c | 1,000$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 64c | 999.96$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.98 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 37c | 983.78$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.78 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-18?this page
- Will Nottingham Forest vs. Chelsea end in a draw?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-10-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.