TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf661…d170

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT1811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Latvia win on 2025-10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.6
Will France win on 2025-10-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$4,185.11
Will Azerbaijan win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.17
Will Uruguay win on 2025-10-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$346.49
Will Croatia win on 2025-10-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$299.36
Will Belarus win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$574Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$574.17
Will Scotland win on 2025-10-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$450
Will San Marino win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$850
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$558.86
Will Bulgaria win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Luxembourg win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$215.76
Will Germany win on 2025-10-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Brazil win on 2025-10-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$315
Will Japan win on 2025-10-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$384.98
Will Belarus win on 2025-10-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.18
Will Netherlands win on 2025-10-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$161.66
Will Malta win on 2025-10-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$158.23
All 18 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-52.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3)backed Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Ratones (BO5)backed Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$48
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs PSG Talon (BO3)backed PSG Talon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,729Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,728.54
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$186.39
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$314.99
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$293
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$720
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Fnatic (BO1)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$540
LoL: Top Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO1)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,653Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,652.86
LoL: Gen.G vs PSG Talon (BO1)backed PSG Talon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$380
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$13,230
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,259.97
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-10-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,499.98
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$3,270Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,270
Will Olympiakos Piraeus win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,614Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,614.23
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$228.69
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$360
Will Pafos FC win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.27
Will Pafos FC vs. Bayern Munich end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.58
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$324
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-81.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.93
Will Sunderland win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Everton win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$16
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,209.53
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,423Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,423.45
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,139.96
Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,799.97
Will West Ham win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$136.5
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-10-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$685Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$684.77
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+40.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+127.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick30cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,625Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+300%+$4,874.97
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,699.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.44
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$507.36
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-10-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$820.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$819.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11,703Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$3,300.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-10-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.