TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-10-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,174
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,197

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,174 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3cda…6e17backed No30c29,352$8,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,919.77250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Yes70c20,000$13,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,072.81258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed Yes69c7,930$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,429.531442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1d…e3c3backed Yes69c6,000$4,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8601100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8db…4e5bbacked No31c5,001$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No34c2,589$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.251844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf661…d170backed No34c2,413$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No31c2,050$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.512613.5%17 W · 109 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes66c1,802$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.951,44151.1%736 W · 705 L-16.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x461f…582fbacked No34c1,800$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a89…bfddbacked Yes67c1,800$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x812c…3cd4backed Yes70c1,800$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe081…a4b1backed Yes70c1,700$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe20…c1d8backed No35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50d3…af3ebacked Yes66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x462c…2fa3backed Yes70c1,500$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed No34c1,446$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fec…5b6fbacked Yes69c1,410$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.8450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No32c1,282$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.9146454.3%252 W · 212 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No30c1,264$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.292763%17 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+32.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No32c1,210$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.452846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked No32c1,200$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3842326.1%6 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.23per pick49cpaid-56.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No26c1,018$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.877,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No22c907.15$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.915,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Yes67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.272650%13 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No30c740.04$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.411723.1%27 W · 90 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Yes77c596.33$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.165042%21 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes69c527.69$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.583429.4%10 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked No2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105728.1%16 W · 41 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick16cpaid+78.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed No29c499.96$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.99650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked No32c436.66$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.632070%14 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked No35c423.99$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.282339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905639.3%22 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed No31c299.67$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.97945.6%36 W · 43 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e1…921ebacked Yes71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.69771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…a3dbbacked Yes67c243.23$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ee…a5acbacked Yes71c239.45$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.54862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7272…7135backed Yes70c231$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.33043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No30c176$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6985340.1%342 W · 511 L-12.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes70c171$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.35438.9%21 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf135…eb06backed No20c170.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No33c153.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1129425.9%76 W · 218 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5232739.4%129 W · 198 L-22.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0909…91cabacked Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.52450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffe8…d8babacked Yes67c149.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbea6…eab2backed Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.864100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No34c122.8$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.753040%12 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No25c115$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.951942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes66c113.64$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.644465.9%29 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc48d…8a40backed Yes71c108.75$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.891471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec2c…1b20backed Yes67c104.48$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bbb…92efbacked Yes70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301625%4 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-29.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeecc…6930backed Yes68c94.07$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.076136.1%22 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb5…6530backed Yes67c89.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.55771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+41.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes71c84.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.512774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes66c83.33$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.33875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cdd…3a5bbacked Yes67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.632065%13 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d4f…3e05backed Yes67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.63250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Yes70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.435100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+68.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec73…6af3backed Yes70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.43475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a54…e581backed Yes71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf99d…f867backed Yes68c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb41c…2f0dbacked Yes72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2942…5c1bbacked No32c62.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.15560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fbc…3099backed Yes66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.61875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed No30c57.75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.331070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe363…be8bbacked Yes71c57.75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.75728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick60cpaid-59.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc0f…18b4backed Yes70c57.46$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.46850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.14933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Yes78c55.77$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.53138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed Yes71c49.3$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.33345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98ed…cd71backed Yes67c47.76$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.782650%13 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf351…5364backed Yes70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7daf…f1b3backed Yes71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2b3…a2c0backed Yes73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked No35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+52.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dff…bc36backed No31c39.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.39333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x569d…5db5backed Yes71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No35c33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5517141.5%71 W · 100 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2e5…c3d4backed Yes71c30.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.99977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a3a…d4d5backed Yes66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c5…b378backed Yes66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.31546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick65cpaid-33.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3bb…e7a1backed Yes66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.33100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x893c…b437backed Yes67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9913959%82 W · 57 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x186f…8c40backed Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.174153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd306…f9e9backed Yes70c27.04$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee99…b0aebacked Yes67c25.25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+97%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37a0…e197backed Yes67c24.54$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d6f…3d82backed Yes70c24.29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.292857.1%16 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4392…0da3backed Yes67c22.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b55…dfeebacked Yes67c22.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba03…f806backed Yes67c22.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.39366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…f9e9backed Yes69c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.741080%8 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb631…d67fbacked Yes66c20.61$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.