TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf135…eb06

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: CS2, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 61 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-44.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.53
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$23.46
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.26
San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.8
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.77
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.54
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.6
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.53
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+300%+$44.61
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick30cpaid+69.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.7
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.3
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$32
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FaZe (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$38
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.3
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.15
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Gentle Mates (BO3)backed Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+170.9%+$25.63
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+100%+$15
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs HOTU (BO3)backed HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$79
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+102.3%+$35.4
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+179.2%+$37.7
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs M80 (BO3)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.8
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Gentle Matesbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+144.9%+$28.98
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegionbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
All 14 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Minnesotabacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.5
Oklahoma vs. Texasbacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.05
Alabama vs. Missouribacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
UCLA vs. Michigan Statebacked UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$35.5
Duke vs. Californiabacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$20.15
Texas vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.56
Illinois vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
West Virginia vs. BYUbacked West Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.83
Colorado State vs. San Diego Statebacked Colorado State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
New Mexico vs. San Jose Statebacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Western Kentucky vs. Delaware Blue Hensbacked Western Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+144.6%+$47.29
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+175.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+201.2%+$32.2
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+150%+$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+100%+$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: DRX vs Paper Rex (BO3)backed Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$61
Valorant: Fnatic vs NRG (BO3)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3000000 and 3250000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-10-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fever vs. Acesbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Lorient win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Verona win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.